Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 25/10, 16:15

Prediction: Amo HK vs HK Malmo

Team pages: Amo HK · HK Malmo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.9Total

Amo HK32.9

HK Malmo32

1X2

61% 39%

Amo HK HK Malmo

Recent form · 10 last

Amo HK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWLWWL

HK Malmo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Amo HK 1–2–3 HK Malmo (6 last)

HK Malmo35-35Amo HK
Amo HK28-25HK Malmo
Amo HK32-33HK Malmo
HK Malmo28-28Amo HK
HK Malmo30-27Amo HK
Amo HK29-31HK Malmo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amo HK 1506 · HK Malmo 1508

	Amo HK	HK Malmo
Our model	60%	40%
Market	55%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 64.9 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.9Amo HK 32.9 · HK Malmo 32

Match keys

H2H favours HK Malmo: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Amo HK	HK Malmo
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.5 / 31.5	32.8 / 33.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 30	31.2 / 29.6
Est. result	33	32

Est. total64.9

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.62

X8.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 64.45

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 12:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.62▲	Bet365 1.62
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.40 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:06 +10’	1.45	8.00	3.40
10:06 +17’	1.62▲	8.00	2.70▼
10:54 +32’	1.45▼	8.00	3.40▲
12:15 +10’	1.62▲	8.00	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Amo HK 1–2–3 HK Malmo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	35-35	Amo HK
05/10/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Amo HK	28-25	HK Malmo
26/02/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Amo HK	32-33	HK Malmo
07/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	28-28	Amo HK
13/02/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	HK Malmo	30-27	Amo HK
25/11/23 Sweden Handbollsligan	Amo HK	29-31	HK Malmo

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Savehof	4	4	0	0	135	105	8
2	Hammarby IF HF	6	4	0	2	174	166	8
3	IFK Kristianstad	5	4	0	1	148	144	8
4	HK Malmo	6	4	0	2	185	182	8
5	Amo HK	6	3	1	2	191	182	7
6	Ystads IF HF	5	3	0	2	154	142	6
7	Alingsas HK	6	3	0	3	183	176	6
8	HIF Karlskrona	6	3	0	3	189	194	6
9	IFK Skovde HK	5	2	2	1	154	159	6
10	OV Helsingborg	5	1	2	2	139	145	4
11	Lugi HF	6	2	0	4	184	192	4
12	Onnereds HK	6	1	2	3	170	181	4
13	Skanela IF	6	1	0	5	172	188	2
14	IF Hallby HK	6	0	1	5	166	188	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amo HK	HK Malmo
Skanela IF	34-27 W	29-34 L
Lugi HF	35-30 W	33-31 W
HIF Karlskrona	30-31 L	34-30 W
Alingsas HK	30-28 W	28-27 W
OV Helsingborg	32-32 D	32-25 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Amo HK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amo HK

LLWLDWLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
16/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	34-27	W
09/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	35-30	W
02/10	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	30-31	L
26/09	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-28	W
23/09	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-32	D
25/03	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
13/03	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	39-34	W
09/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	33-35	L
04/03	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	25-32	L

HK Malmo

LWLLLWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-31	W
16/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-27	W
09/10	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
03/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-35	L
26/09	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	32-25	W
23/09	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L
29/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	38-41	L
26/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	29-34	L
23/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	42-35	W
20/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	34-39	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amo HK vs HK Malmo?

Our model gives 61% to Amo HK.

How many points are expected in Amo HK vs HK Malmo?

The model estimates 64.9 total points (Amo HK 32.9 · HK Malmo 32).