Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 21/10, 19:00

Prediction: Hammarby IF HF vs Alingsas HK

Team pages: Hammarby IF HF · Alingsas HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.3Total

Hammarby IF HF30.2

Alingsas HK30

1X2

68% 32%

Hammarby IF HF Alingsas HK

Recent form · 10 last

Hammarby IF HF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLWLWW

Alingsas HK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLDLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Hammarby IF HF 2–4 Alingsas HK (6 last)

Hammarby IF HF37-32Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK36-32Hammarby IF HF
Alingsas HK29-24Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF36-26Alingsas HK
Hammarby IF HF37-39Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK29-24Hammarby IF HF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby IF HF 1507 · Alingsas HK 1511

	Hammarby IF HF	Alingsas HK
Our model	59%	41%
Market	65%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 60.3 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.3Hammarby IF HF 30.2 · Alingsas HK 30

Match keys

Hammarby IF HF is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Alingsas HK: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Hammarby IF HF	Alingsas HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.3 / 29.6	30 / 29.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.4 / 28.4	31.8 / 29.8
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.3

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X8.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.85

2 (+2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 59.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.37▼	Bet365 1.37
X	7.50 → 8.00▲	Bet365 8.00
2	2.70 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:10 +5’	1.65	7.50	2.70
19:59 +17’	1.37▼	8.00▲	3.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby IF HF 2–0–4 Alingsas HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 European League Qualification	Hammarby IF HF	37-32	Alingsas HK
06/09/26 European League Qualification	Alingsas HK	36-32	Hammarby IF HF
13/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	29-24	Hammarby IF HF
15/10/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	36-26	Alingsas HK
01/03/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	37-39	Alingsas HK
02/10/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	29-24	Hammarby IF HF

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Kristianstad	5	4	0	1	148	144	8
2	Amo HK	5	3	1	1	161	148	7
3	IK Savehof	3	3	0	0	99	78	6
4	Ystads IF HF	4	3	0	1	125	112	6
5	Alingsas HK	5	3	0	2	159	149	6
6	Hammarby IF HF	5	3	0	2	147	142	6
7	HK Malmo	5	3	0	2	152	151	6
8	Lugi HF	5	2	0	3	153	159	4
9	OV Helsingborg	5	1	2	2	139	145	4
10	HIF Karlskrona	5	2	0	3	156	164	4
11	IFK Skovde HK	4	1	2	1	120	129	4
12	Onnereds HK	5	0	2	3	140	152	2
13	Skanela IF	5	1	0	4	142	155	2
14	IF Hallby HK	5	0	1	4	139	152	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby IF HF

LLWDLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-29	W
11/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-23	W
02/10	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	24-30	L
26/09	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	38-32	W
23/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
20/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	33-38	L
16/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
13/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
07/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L
01/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L

Alingsas HK

DDLDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
09/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-26	W
04/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	39-37	W
26/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-30	L
23/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-28	W
08/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
06/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-30	D
02/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	24-25	L
29/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
23/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby IF HF vs Alingsas HK?

Our model gives 68% to Hammarby IF HF.

How many points are expected in Hammarby IF HF vs Alingsas HK?

The model estimates 60.3 total points (Hammarby IF HF 30.2 · Alingsas HK 30).