Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Ystads IF HF vs Hammarby IF HF

Team pages: Ystads IF HF · Hammarby IF HF

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

Ystads IF HF29.9

Hammarby IF HF30.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Ystads IF HF Hammarby IF HF

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Ystads IF HF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWWLWL

Hammarby IF HF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Ystads IF HF 3–3 Hammarby IF HF (6 last)

Ystads IF HF29-34Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF34-29Ystads IF HF
Hammarby IF HF29-32Ystads IF HF
Ystads IF HF33-32Hammarby IF HF
Hammarby IF HF37-35Ystads IF HF
Ystads IF HF32-31Hammarby IF HF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ystads IF HF 1499 · Hammarby IF HF 1542

	Ystads IF HF	Hammarby IF HF
Our model	54%	46%
Market	43%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2Ystads IF HF 29.9 · Hammarby IF HF 30.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Ystads IF HF	Hammarby IF HF
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 30.4	29.4 / 29.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.8 / 28.4	29.4 / 27.6
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60.2

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.15

X7.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.15

2 (+0.5)1.70

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 2.9 · Est. total: 59.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +11’	2.15	7.50	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ystads IF HF 3–0–3 Hammarby IF HF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	29-34	Hammarby IF HF
01/10/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	34-29	Ystads IF HF
23/05/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	29-32	Ystads IF HF
20/05/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	33-32	Hammarby IF HF
16/05/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Hammarby IF HF	37-35	Ystads IF HF
13/05/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Ystads IF HF	32-31	Hammarby IF HF

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Savehof	4	4	0	0	135	105	8
2	Hammarby IF HF	6	4	0	2	174	166	8
3	IFK Kristianstad	5	4	0	1	148	144	8
4	HK Malmo	6	4	0	2	185	182	8
5	Amo HK	6	3	1	2	191	182	7
6	Ystads IF HF	5	3	0	2	154	142	6
7	Alingsas HK	6	3	0	3	183	176	6
8	HIF Karlskrona	6	3	0	3	189	194	6
9	IFK Skovde HK	5	2	2	1	154	159	6
10	OV Helsingborg	5	1	2	2	139	145	4
11	Lugi HF	6	2	0	4	184	192	4
12	Onnereds HK	6	1	2	3	170	181	4
13	Skanela IF	6	1	0	5	172	188	2
14	IF Hallby HK	6	0	1	5	166	188	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ystads IF HF	Hammarby IF HF
Onnereds HK	29-30 L	32-29 W
IF Hallby HK	31-28 W	38-32 W
IFK Kristianstad	23-29 L	27-28 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby IF HF (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ystads IF HF

WLDLLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
16/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-28	W
11/10	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	23-29	L
03/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	35-29	W
23/09	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	36-26	W
19/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L
16/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	29-30	L
12/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-27	D
07/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	28-38	L
02/04	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	36-33	W

Hammarby IF HF

LWDLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	27-24	W
16/10	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-29	W
11/10	OV Helsingborg Sweden Handbollsligan	26-23	W
02/10	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	24-30	L
26/09	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	38-32	W
23/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
20/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	33-38	L
16/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D
13/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
07/04	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-28	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ystads IF HF vs Hammarby IF HF?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ystads IF HF 51% · Hammarby IF HF 49%).

How many points are expected in Ystads IF HF vs Hammarby IF HF?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (Ystads IF HF 29.9 · Hammarby IF HF 30.3).