Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 25/10, 17:30

Prediction: Alingsas HK vs Onnereds HK

Team pages: Alingsas HK

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.3Total

Alingsas HK30.1

Onnereds HK28.2

1X2

67% 33%

Alingsas HK Onnereds HK

Markets

Under 61.5 points 75%

Recent form · 10 last

Alingsas HK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLWWLL

Onnereds HK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLDDLW

Head-to-head

Alingsas HK 3–3 Onnereds HK (6 last)

Alingsas HK33-26Onnereds HK
Onnereds HK31-36Alingsas HK
Onnereds HK35-27Alingsas HK
Alingsas HK32-30Onnereds HK
Onnereds HK28-27Alingsas HK
Onnereds HK24-23Alingsas HK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alingsas HK 1522 · Onnereds HK 1476

	Alingsas HK	Onnereds HK
Our model	66%	34%
Market	60%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 58.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.3Alingsas HK 30.1 · Onnereds HK 28.2

Over / Under 61.5Under · 75%recent trend · ~59.8 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Alingsas HK is a clear favourite (67% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Alingsas HK	Onnereds HK
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.5 / 29.4	28.9 / 30.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 29.6	28.8 / 30.2
Est. result	30	28

Est. total58.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.3.2

Over / Under25% / 75%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

X8.00

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.78

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 59.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +2’	1.50	8.00	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alingsas HK 3–0–3 Onnereds HK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	33-26	Onnereds HK
22/09/25 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	31-36	Alingsas HK
07/02/25 European League Qualification	Onnereds HK	35-27	Alingsas HK
20/12/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Alingsas HK	32-30	Onnereds HK
13/11/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	28-27	Alingsas HK
20/02/24 Sweden Handbollsligan	Onnereds HK	24-23	Alingsas HK

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Savehof	4	4	0	0	135	105	8
2	Hammarby IF HF	6	4	0	2	174	166	8
3	IFK Kristianstad	5	4	0	1	148	144	8
4	HK Malmo	6	4	0	2	185	182	8
5	Amo HK	6	3	1	2	191	182	7
6	Ystads IF HF	5	3	0	2	154	142	6
7	Alingsas HK	6	3	0	3	183	176	6
8	HIF Karlskrona	6	3	0	3	189	194	6
9	IFK Skovde HK	5	2	2	1	154	159	6
10	OV Helsingborg	5	1	2	2	139	145	4
11	Lugi HF	6	2	0	4	184	192	4
12	Onnereds HK	6	1	2	3	170	181	4
13	Skanela IF	6	1	0	5	172	188	2
14	IF Hallby HK	6	0	1	5	166	188	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Alingsas HK	Onnereds HK
Hammarby IF HF	24-27 L	29-32 L
IFK Kristianstad	27-32 L	28-33 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alingsas HK

DLDLWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	24-27	L
16/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	27-28	L
09/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	31-26	W
04/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	39-37	W
26/09	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-30	L
23/09	HIF Karlskrona Sweden Handbollsligan	34-28	W
08/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	27-32	L
06/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-30	D
02/05	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	24-25	L
29/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	31-31	D

Onnereds HK

WWLLLLDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	30-29	W
16/10	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-32	L
10/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-28	D
03/10	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	29-29	D
27/09	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-33	L
23/09	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	26-30	L
25/03	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	24-32	L
13/03	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	26-33	L
09/03	VasterasIrsta HF Sweden Handbollsligan	41-31	W
02/03	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alingsas HK vs Onnereds HK?

Our model gives 67% to Alingsas HK.

How many points are expected in Alingsas HK vs Onnereds HK?

The model estimates 58.3 total points (Alingsas HK 30.1 · Onnereds HK 28.2).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (75%).