Handball · Sweden Handbollsligan · 25/10, 16:00

Prediction: HIF Karlskrona vs IFK Kristianstad

Team pages: HIF Karlskrona · IFK Kristianstad

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.6Total

HIF Karlskrona32.1

IFK Kristianstad33.5

1X2

31% 69%

HIF Karlskrona IFK Kristianstad

Recent form · 10 last

HIF Karlskrona 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLWW

IFK Kristianstad 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

HIF Karlskrona 1–5 IFK Kristianstad (6 last)

HIF Karlskrona35-41IFK Kristianstad
IFK Kristianstad30-34HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona28-31IFK Kristianstad
IFK Kristianstad34-30HIF Karlskrona
HIF Karlskrona35-37IFK Kristianstad
HIF Karlskrona29-33IFK Kristianstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HIF Karlskrona 1459 · IFK Kristianstad 1572

	HIF Karlskrona	IFK Kristianstad
Our model	44%	56%
Market	20%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 65.6 points · Bet365 line 65.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.6HIF Karlskrona 32.1 · IFK Kristianstad 33.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Kristianstad (rating 1459 vs 1572).
IFK Kristianstad is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours IFK Kristianstad: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	HIF Karlskrona	IFK Kristianstad
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.6 / 33	32.9 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 32	29.6 / 28.8
Est. result	32	34

Est. total65.6

Line O/U65.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.50

X9.00

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.88

2 (-3.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.88

Under 65.51.88

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 64.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:18 +6’	4.50	9.00	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HIF Karlskrona 1–0–5 IFK Kristianstad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	35-41	IFK Kristianstad
13/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Kristianstad	30-34	HIF Karlskrona
09/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	28-31	IFK Kristianstad
03/04/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	IFK Kristianstad	34-30	HIF Karlskrona
28/03/26 European League Qualification	HIF Karlskrona	35-37	IFK Kristianstad
07/02/26 Sweden Handbollsligan	HIF Karlskrona	29-33	IFK Kristianstad

Standings · Sweden Handbollsligan

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Savehof	4	4	0	0	135	105	8
2	Hammarby IF HF	6	4	0	2	174	166	8
3	IFK Kristianstad	5	4	0	1	148	144	8
4	HK Malmo	6	4	0	2	185	182	8
5	Amo HK	6	3	1	2	191	182	7
6	Ystads IF HF	5	3	0	2	154	142	6
7	Alingsas HK	6	3	0	3	183	176	6
8	HIF Karlskrona	6	3	0	3	189	194	6
9	IFK Skovde HK	5	2	2	1	154	159	6
10	OV Helsingborg	5	1	2	2	139	145	4
11	Lugi HF	6	2	0	4	184	192	4
12	Onnereds HK	6	1	2	3	170	181	4
13	Skanela IF	6	1	0	5	172	188	2
14	IF Hallby HK	6	0	1	5	166	188	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HIF Karlskrona	IFK Kristianstad
HK Malmo	30-34 L	41-38 W
Alingsas HK	28-34 L	32-27 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Kristianstad (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HIF Karlskrona

LLWLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/10	Skanela IF Sweden Handbollsligan	33-30	W
16/10	Lugi HF Sweden Handbollsligan	32-30	W
09/10	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L
02/10	Amo HK Sweden Handbollsligan	31-30	W
26/09	IFK Skovde HK Sweden Handbollsligan	35-36	L
23/09	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	28-34	L
16/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	35-41	L
13/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	34-30	W
09/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	28-31	L
03/04	IFK Kristianstad Sweden Handbollsligan	30-34	L

IFK Kristianstad

WWLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/10	IK Savehof Sweden Handbollsligan	28-39	L
11/10	Ystads IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	29-23	W
03/10	IF Hallby HK Sweden Handbollsligan	30-27	W
27/09	Onnereds HK Sweden Handbollsligan	33-28	W
23/09	Hammarby IF HF Sweden Handbollsligan	28-27	W
29/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	41-38	W
26/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	34-29	W
23/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	35-42	L
20/05	HK Malmo Sweden Handbollsligan	39-34	W
08/05	Alingsas HK Sweden Handbollsligan	32-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HIF Karlskrona vs IFK Kristianstad?

Our model gives 69% to IFK Kristianstad.

How many points are expected in HIF Karlskrona vs IFK Kristianstad?

The model estimates 65.6 total points (HIF Karlskrona 32.1 · IFK Kristianstad 33.5).