Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 31/10, 19:30

Prediction: Vitoria SC vs SL Benfica

Team pages: Vitoria SC · SL Benfica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.6Total

Vitoria SC27.5

SL Benfica33.1

1X2

21% 79%

Vitoria SC SL Benfica

Markets

Under 66.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

Vitoria SC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLDL

SL Benfica 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Vitoria SC 0–6 SL Benfica (6 last)

SL Benfica33-22Vitoria SC
Vitoria SC31-32SL Benfica
SL Benfica36-24Vitoria SC
Vitoria SC27-41SL Benfica
SL Benfica36-23Vitoria SC
Vitoria SC19-35SL Benfica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vitoria SC 1462 · SL Benfica 1535

	Vitoria SC	SL Benfica
Our model	50%	50%
Market	2%	95%

Estimated total (ours) 60.6 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -5.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.6Vitoria SC 27.5 · SL Benfica 33.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SL Benfica (rating 1462 vs 1535).
SL Benfica is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours SL Benfica: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Vitoria SC	SL Benfica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.7 / 32.6	34.3 / 28.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24 / 35.6	34.8 / 28
Est. result	28	33

Est. total60.6

Line O/U66.5

Diff.5.9

Over / Under20% / 80%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

145.00

X40.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+13.5)1.85

2 (-13.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.75

Under 66.51.95

Diff.: 5.1 · Est. total: 61.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	45.00 → 45.00	Bet365 45.00
X	40.00 → 40.00	Bet365 40.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:16 +11’	45.00	40.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vitoria SC 0–0–6 SL Benfica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/12/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	SL Benfica	33-22	Vitoria SC
04/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Vitoria SC	31-32	SL Benfica
30/11/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	SL Benfica	36-24	Vitoria SC
14/09/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Vitoria SC	27-41	SL Benfica
20/12/23 Portugal Liga Andebol	SL Benfica	36-23	Vitoria SC
30/09/23 Portugal Liga Andebol	Vitoria SC	19-35	SL Benfica

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	9	9	0	0	376	243	27
2	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	370	237	27
3	Madeira	9	8	0	1	291	257	25
4	SL Benfica	10	7	0	3	343	282	24
5	ABC Braga	10	5	0	5	297	321	20
6	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	10	5	0	5	314	329	20
7	Belenenses	10	4	0	6	280	307	18
8	Vitoria SC	10	3	1	6	277	326	17
9	Aguas Santas	9	4	0	5	271	271	17
10	AA Avanca	10	1	1	8	241	331	13
11	GC Santo Tirso	10	1	0	9	266	340	12
12	AD Carvalhos	10	1	0	9	258	340	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vitoria SC	SL Benfica
ABC Braga	29-30 L	39-34 W
AA Avanca	20-20 D	38-20 W
Sporting Clube	23-51 L	27-32 L
FC Porto	21-47 L	33-37 L
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	27-30 L	37-30 W
Aguas Santas	33-29 W	34-23 W
GC Santo Tirso	28-26 W	38-21 W
Madeira	37-38 L	27-28 L
AD Carvalhos	35-28 W	35-26 W
Belenenses	24-27 L	35-31 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	7 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SL Benfica (9 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vitoria SC

LWLWWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	29-30	L
17/10	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	20-20	D
05/10	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	23-51	L
03/10	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	21-47	L
26/09	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	27-30	L
23/09	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	33-29	W
19/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	28-26	W
12/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	37-38	L
05/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	35-28	W
29/08	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	24-27	L

SL Benfica

WWLLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	27-28	L
19/10	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	35-26	W
10/10	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	35-31	W
03/10	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	38-21	W
26/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	39-34	W
23/09	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	38-20	W
19/09	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	27-32	L
12/09	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	33-37	L
05/09	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	37-30	W
29/08	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	34-23	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vitoria SC vs SL Benfica?

Our model gives 79% to SL Benfica.

How many points are expected in Vitoria SC vs SL Benfica?

The model estimates 60.6 total points (Vitoria SC 27.5 · SL Benfica 33.1).