Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 31/10, 20:00

Prediction: AD Carvalhos vs GC Santo Tirso

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.1Total

AD Carvalhos28.9

GC Santo Tirso29.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

AD Carvalhos GC Santo Tirso

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

AD Carvalhos 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

GC Santo Tirso 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

AD Carvalhos 1–1–2 GC Santo Tirso (4 last)

AD Carvalhos23-25GC Santo Tirso
GC Santo Tirso23-23AD Carvalhos
AD Carvalhos20-25GC Santo Tirso
GC Santo Tirso23-27AD Carvalhos

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AD Carvalhos 1394 · GC Santo Tirso 1430

	AD Carvalhos	GC Santo Tirso
Our model	55%	45%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 58.1 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.1AD Carvalhos 28.9 · GC Santo Tirso 29.2

Match keys

H2H favours GC Santo Tirso: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AD Carvalhos	GC Santo Tirso
Points F\|A (Last 10)	25.8 / 34	26.6 / 34
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.2 / 34	26.2 / 35.8
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.1

Line O/U57.5

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.95

Under 57.51.75

Diff.: 2.7 · Est. total: 60.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
19:37 +51’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AD Carvalhos 1–1–2 GC Santo Tirso

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Portugal Divisao de Honra	AD Carvalhos	23-25	GC Santo Tirso
28/03/26 Portugal Divisao de Honra	GC Santo Tirso	23-23	AD Carvalhos
31/01/26 Portugal Divisao de Honra	AD Carvalhos	20-25	GC Santo Tirso
25/10/25 Portugal Divisao de Honra	GC Santo Tirso	23-27	AD Carvalhos

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	9	9	0	0	376	243	27
2	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	370	237	27
3	Madeira	9	8	0	1	291	257	25
4	SL Benfica	10	7	0	3	343	282	24
5	ABC Braga	10	5	0	5	297	321	20
6	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	10	5	0	5	314	329	20
7	Belenenses	10	4	0	6	280	307	18
8	Vitoria SC	10	3	1	6	277	326	17
9	Aguas Santas	9	4	0	5	271	271	17
10	AA Avanca	10	1	1	8	241	331	13
11	GC Santo Tirso	10	1	0	9	266	340	12
12	AD Carvalhos	10	1	0	9	258	340	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AD Carvalhos	GC Santo Tirso
Belenenses	31-36 L	21-27 L
SL Benfica	26-35 L	21-38 L
ABC Braga	26-30 L	28-34 L
AA Avanca	26-25 W	36-30 W
Sporting Clube	27-44 L	25-37 L
FC Porto	24-40 L	30-47 L
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	26-33 L	28-29 L
Aguas Santas	23-31 L	31-38 L
Vitoria SC	28-35 L	26-28 L
Madeira	21-31 L	20-32 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 9 L	1 W 0 D 9 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AD Carvalhos

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	31-36	L
19/10	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	26-35	L
10/10	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	26-30	L
05/10	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	26-25	W
26/09	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	27-44	L
23/09	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	24-40	L
19/09	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	26-33	L
12/09	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	23-31	L
05/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	28-35	L
29/08	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	21-31	L

GC Santo Tirso

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	30-47	L
17/10	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	21-27	L
10/10	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	28-29	L
03/10	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	21-38	L
26/09	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	31-38	L
23/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	28-34	L
19/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	26-28	L
12/09	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	36-30	W
05/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	20-32	L
29/08	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	25-37	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AD Carvalhos vs GC Santo Tirso?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (AD Carvalhos 55% · GC Santo Tirso 45%).

How many points are expected in AD Carvalhos vs GC Santo Tirso?

The model estimates 58.1 total points (AD Carvalhos 28.9 · GC Santo Tirso 29.2).