Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 31/10, 19:30

Prediction: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs AA Avanca

Team pages: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao · AA Avanca

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.8Total

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao32.2

AA Avanca27.6

1X2

83% 17%

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao AA Avanca

Recent form · 10 last

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWLL

AA Avanca 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 3–1–2 AA Avanca (6 last)

AA Avanca24-28Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao28-27AA Avanca
AA Avanca26-24Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao27-30AA Avanca
AA Avanca25-26Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao26-26AA Avanca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 1520 · AA Avanca 1397

	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	AA Avanca
Our model	75%	25%
Market	82%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 59.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.8Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 32.2 · AA Avanca 27.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Povoa Andebol/Bodegao (rating 1520 vs 1397).
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours Povoa Andebol/Bodegao: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	AA Avanca
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 32.9	24.1 / 33.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 34.2	24.4 / 28.4
Est. result	32	28

Est. total59.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

X13.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.85

2 (+6.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.95

Under 58.51.75

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 60.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:10 +17’	1.10	13.00	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 3–1–2 AA Avanca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	AA Avanca	24-28	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
15/11/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	28-27	AA Avanca
24/05/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	AA Avanca	26-24	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
05/04/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	27-30	AA Avanca
01/03/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	AA Avanca	25-26	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
02/11/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	26-26	AA Avanca

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	9	9	0	0	376	243	27
2	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	370	237	27
3	Madeira	9	8	0	1	291	257	25
4	SL Benfica	10	7	0	3	343	282	24
5	ABC Braga	10	5	0	5	297	321	20
6	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	10	5	0	5	314	329	20
7	Belenenses	10	4	0	6	280	307	18
8	Vitoria SC	10	3	1	6	277	326	17
9	Aguas Santas	9	4	0	5	271	271	17
10	AA Avanca	10	1	1	8	241	331	13
11	GC Santo Tirso	10	1	0	9	266	340	12
12	AD Carvalhos	10	1	0	9	258	340	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	AA Avanca
Sporting Clube	31-43 L	23-46 L
FC Porto	33-43 L	20-42 L
GC Santo Tirso	29-28 W	30-36 L
Aguas Santas	32-30 W	24-34 L
Vitoria SC	30-27 W	20-20 D
Madeira	37-38 L	22-36 L
AD Carvalhos	33-26 W	25-26 L
Belenenses	28-25 W	31-26 W
SL Benfica	30-37 L	20-38 L
ABC Braga	31-32 L	26-27 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Povoa Andebol/Bodegao (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

LLWWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	31-43	L
18/10	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	33-43	L
10/10	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	29-28	W
03/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	32-30	W
26/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	30-27	W
23/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	37-38	L
19/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	33-26	W
12/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	28-25	W
05/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	30-37	L
29/08	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	31-32	L

AA Avanca

LLLLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	24-34	L
17/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	20-20	D
10/10	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	22-36	L
05/10	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	25-26	L
26/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	31-26	W
23/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	20-38	L
19/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	26-27	L
12/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	30-36	L
29/08	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	20-42	L
26/08	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	23-46	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs AA Avanca?

Our model gives 83% to Povoa Andebol/Bodegao.

How many points are expected in Povoa Andebol/Bodegao vs AA Avanca?

The model estimates 59.8 total points (Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 32.2 · AA Avanca 27.6).