Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 25/10, 19:30

Prediction: Sporting Clube vs Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

Team pages: Sporting Clube · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66Total

Sporting Clube37.7

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao28.3

1X2

87% 13%

Sporting Clube Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting Clube 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWWWL

Head-to-head

Sporting Clube 6–0 Povoa Andebol/Bodegao (6 last)

Sporting Clube42-21Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao18-34Sporting Clube
Sporting Clube38-25Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Sporting Clube32-28Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao23-35Sporting Clube
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao32-43Sporting Clube

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting Clube 1645 · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 1505

	Sporting Clube	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Our model	77%	23%
Market	90%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 66 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66Sporting Clube 37.7 · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 28.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Clube (rating 1645 vs 1505).
Sporting Clube is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Sporting Clube: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sporting Clube	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Points F\|A (Last 10)	40.4 / 26.3	31.6 / 31.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	41.4 / 26.4	32.2 / 33.2
Est. result	38	28

Est. total66

Line O/U66.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X20.00

217.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.85

2 (+11.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.85

Under 66.51.85

Diff.: 1.4 · Est. total: 65.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:47 +39’	1.00	20.00	17.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Clube 6–0–0 Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	42-21	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
19/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	18-34	Sporting Clube
12/10/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	38-25	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
17/02/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	32-28	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
07/10/23 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	23-35	Sporting Clube
22/04/23 Portugal Liga Andebol	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	32-43	Sporting Clube

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	8	8	0	0	333	212	24
2	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	323	207	24
3	SL Benfica	9	7	0	2	316	254	23
4	Madeira	8	7	0	1	263	230	22
5	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	9	5	0	4	283	286	19
6	ABC Braga	9	4	0	5	267	292	17
7	Vitoria SC	9	3	1	5	248	296	16
8	Belenenses	9	3	0	6	244	276	15
9	Aguas Santas	8	3	0	5	237	247	14
10	AA Avanca	9	1	1	7	217	297	12
11	GC Santo Tirso	9	1	0	8	236	293	11
12	AD Carvalhos	9	1	0	8	227	304	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting Clube	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao
Aguas Santas	37-28 W	32-30 W
Vitoria SC	51-23 W	30-27 W
AD Carvalhos	44-27 W	33-26 W
Belenenses	43-27 W	28-25 W
SL Benfica	32-27 W	30-37 L
ABC Braga	43-32 W	31-32 L
GC Santo Tirso	37-25 W	29-28 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Clube (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting Clube

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	37-28	W
05/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	51-23	W
26/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	44-27	W
23/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	43-27	W
19/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	32-27	W
13/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	43-32	W
29/08	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	37-25	W
26/08	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	46-23	W
23/05	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	34-22	W
09/05	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	37-29	W

Povoa Andebol/Bodegao

DLLWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	33-43	L
10/10	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	29-28	W
03/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	32-30	W
26/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	30-27	W
23/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	37-38	L
19/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	33-26	W
12/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	28-25	W
05/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	30-37	L
29/08	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	31-32	L
23/05	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	33-33	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Clube vs Povoa Andebol/Bodegao?

Our model gives 87% to Sporting Clube.

How many points are expected in Sporting Clube vs Povoa Andebol/Bodegao?

The model estimates 66 total points (Sporting Clube 37.7 · Povoa Andebol/Bodegao 28.3).