Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 31/10, 19:30

Prediction: Aguas Santas vs ABC Braga

Team pages: Aguas Santas · ABC Braga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.3Total

Aguas Santas31.2

ABC Braga30.1

1X2

62% 38%

Aguas Santas ABC Braga

Recent form · 10 last

Aguas Santas 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLLW

ABC Braga 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Aguas Santas 3–1–2 ABC Braga (6 last)

ABC Braga27-30Aguas Santas
Aguas Santas26-23ABC Braga
ABC Braga28-28Aguas Santas
Aguas Santas32-29ABC Braga
ABC Braga29-28Aguas Santas
Aguas Santas22-23ABC Braga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aguas Santas 1474 · ABC Braga 1471

	Aguas Santas	ABC Braga
Our model	60%	40%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 61.3 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.3Aguas Santas 31.2 · ABC Braga 30.1

Match keys

H2H favours Aguas Santas: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Aguas Santas	ABC Braga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30 / 31.3	29.7 / 32.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 31.4	27.6 / 30.8
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.3

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 61.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +24’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguas Santas 3–1–2 ABC Braga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	27-30	Aguas Santas
18/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Aguas Santas	26-23	ABC Braga
03/05/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	28-28	Aguas Santas
29/03/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Aguas Santas	32-29	ABC Braga
07/12/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	29-28	Aguas Santas
21/09/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Aguas Santas	22-23	ABC Braga

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	9	9	0	0	376	243	27
2	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	370	237	27
3	Madeira	9	8	0	1	291	257	25
4	SL Benfica	10	7	0	3	343	282	24
5	ABC Braga	10	5	0	5	297	321	20
6	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	10	5	0	5	314	329	20
7	Belenenses	10	4	0	6	280	307	18
8	Vitoria SC	10	3	1	6	277	326	17
9	Aguas Santas	9	4	0	5	271	271	17
10	AA Avanca	10	1	1	8	241	331	13
11	GC Santo Tirso	10	1	0	9	266	340	12
12	AD Carvalhos	10	1	0	9	258	340	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aguas Santas	ABC Braga
AA Avanca	34-24 W	27-26 W
Sporting Clube	28-37 L	32-43 L
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	30-32 L	32-31 W
GC Santo Tirso	38-31 W	34-28 W
Vitoria SC	29-33 L	30-29 W
Madeira	27-29 L	31-32 L
AD Carvalhos	31-23 W	30-26 W
Belenenses	31-28 W	23-28 L
SL Benfica	23-34 L	34-39 L
FC Porto	29-42 L	24-39 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 6 L	5 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Aguas Santas (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aguas Santas

LLWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	34-24	W
18/10	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	28-37	L
03/10	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	30-32	L
26/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	38-31	W
23/09	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	29-33	L
19/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	27-29	L
12/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	31-23	W
05/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	31-28	W
29/08	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	23-34	L
23/05	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	29-42	L

ABC Braga

WLWWLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	30-29	W
20/10	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	31-32	L
10/10	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	30-26	W
03/10	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	23-28	L
30/09	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	24-39	L
26/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	34-39	L
23/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	34-28	W
19/09	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	27-26	W
13/09	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	32-43	L
29/08	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	32-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aguas Santas vs ABC Braga?

Our model gives 62% to Aguas Santas.

How many points are expected in Aguas Santas vs ABC Braga?

The model estimates 61.3 total points (Aguas Santas 31.2 · ABC Braga 30.1).