Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: FC Porto vs Sporting Clube

Team pages: FC Porto · Sporting Clube

Prediction summary

Estimated points

68.5Total

FC Porto33.9

Sporting Clube34.6

1X2

34% 66%

FC Porto Sporting Clube

Recent form · 10 last

FC Porto 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Sporting Clube 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Porto 0–6 Sporting Clube (6 last)

Sporting Clube36-29FC Porto
FC Porto30-33Sporting Clube
FC Porto35-40Sporting Clube
FC Porto32-36Sporting Clube
Sporting Clube30-29FC Porto
Sporting Clube36-29FC Porto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Porto 1562 · Sporting Clube 1655

	FC Porto	Sporting Clube
Our model	47%	53%
Market	22%	68%

Estimated total (ours) 68.5 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points68.5FC Porto 33.9 · Sporting Clube 34.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Clube (rating 1562 vs 1655).
Sporting Clube is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Sporting Clube: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	FC Porto	Sporting Clube
Points F\|A (Last 10)	41.2 / 26.6	41 / 26.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	42.2 / 27	43.6 / 27.2
Est. result	34	35

Est. total68.5

Line O/U63.5

Diff.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X9.50

21.32

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 4.15 · Est. total: 67.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:30 +1’	4.00	9.50	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Porto 0–0–6 Sporting Clube

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	36-29	FC Porto
28/03/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	FC Porto	30-33	Sporting Clube
07/02/26 Portugal Cup	FC Porto	35-40	Sporting Clube
10/12/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	FC Porto	32-36	Sporting Clube
27/09/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	30-29	FC Porto
23/08/25 Portugal Super Cup	Sporting Clube	36-29	FC Porto

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	9	9	0	0	376	243	27
2	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	370	237	27
3	Madeira	9	8	0	1	291	257	25
4	SL Benfica	10	7	0	3	343	282	24
5	ABC Braga	10	5	0	5	297	321	20
6	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	10	5	0	5	314	329	20
7	Belenenses	10	4	0	6	280	307	18
8	Vitoria SC	10	3	1	6	277	326	17
9	Aguas Santas	9	4	0	5	271	271	17
10	AA Avanca	10	1	1	8	241	331	13
11	GC Santo Tirso	10	1	0	9	266	340	12
12	AD Carvalhos	10	1	0	9	258	340	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Porto	Sporting Clube
GC Santo Tirso	47-30 W	37-25 W
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	43-33 W	43-31 W
Vitoria SC	47-21 W	51-23 W
ABC Braga	39-24 W	43-32 W
AD Carvalhos	40-24 W	44-27 W
Belenenses	40-25 W	43-27 W
SL Benfica	37-33 W	32-27 W
AA Avanca	42-20 W	46-23 W
Aguas Santas	42-29 W	37-28 W
Record vs common	9 W 0 D 0 L	9 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Clube (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Porto

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	47-30	W
18/10	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	43-33	W
03/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	47-21	W
30/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	39-24	W
27/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	35-27	W
23/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	40-24	W
20/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	40-25	W
12/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	37-33	W
29/08	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	42-20	W
23/05	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	42-29	W

Sporting Clube

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	43-31	W
18/10	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	37-28	W
05/10	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	51-23	W
26/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	44-27	W
23/09	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	43-27	W
19/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	32-27	W
13/09	ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol	43-32	W
29/08	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	37-25	W
26/08	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	46-23	W
23/05	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	34-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Porto vs Sporting Clube?

Our model gives 66% to Sporting Clube.

How many points are expected in FC Porto vs Sporting Clube?

The model estimates 68.5 total points (FC Porto 33.9 · Sporting Clube 34.6).