Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 25/10, 16:00

Prediction: ABC Braga vs Vitoria SC

Team pages: ABC Braga · Vitoria SC

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.7Total

ABC Braga31.3

Vitoria SC29.4

1X2

68% 32%

ABC Braga Vitoria SC

Recent form · 10 last

ABC Braga 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLLWL

Vitoria SC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWLLLD

Head-to-head

ABC Braga 4–1–1 Vitoria SC (6 last)

Vitoria SC24-25ABC Braga
ABC Braga28-27Vitoria SC
Vitoria SC33-30ABC Braga
ABC Braga29-28Vitoria SC
Vitoria SC26-32ABC Braga
ABC Braga24-24Vitoria SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ABC Braga 1480 · Vitoria SC 1476

	ABC Braga	Vitoria SC
Our model	60%	40%
Market	65%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 60.7 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.7ABC Braga 31.3 · Vitoria SC 29.4

Match keys

ABC Braga is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours ABC Braga: 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ABC Braga	Vitoria SC
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30 / 32.9	28 / 32.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.4 / 32.8	24.8 / 35.4
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60.7

Line O/U58.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.00

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.75

2 (+2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.95

Under 58.51.75

Diff.: 3 · Est. total: 61.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:23 +1’	1.37	9.00	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ABC Braga 4–1–1 Vitoria SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 Portugal Liga Andebol	Vitoria SC	24-25	ABC Braga
11/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	28-27	Vitoria SC
31/05/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Vitoria SC	33-30	ABC Braga
12/04/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	29-28	Vitoria SC
22/02/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Vitoria SC	26-32	ABC Braga
26/10/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	24-24	Vitoria SC

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	8	8	0	0	333	212	24
2	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	323	207	24
3	SL Benfica	9	7	0	2	316	254	23
4	Madeira	8	7	0	1	263	230	22
5	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	9	5	0	4	283	286	19
6	ABC Braga	9	4	0	5	267	292	17
7	Vitoria SC	9	3	1	5	248	296	16
8	Belenenses	9	3	0	6	244	276	15
9	Aguas Santas	8	3	0	5	237	247	14
10	AA Avanca	9	1	1	7	217	297	12
11	GC Santo Tirso	9	1	0	8	236	293	11
12	AD Carvalhos	9	1	0	8	227	304	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ABC Braga	Vitoria SC
Madeira	31-32 L	37-38 L
AD Carvalhos	30-26 W	35-28 W
Belenenses	23-28 L	24-27 L
FC Porto	24-39 L	21-47 L
GC Santo Tirso	34-28 W	28-26 W
AA Avanca	27-26 W	20-20 D
Sporting Clube	32-43 L	23-51 L
Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	32-31 W	27-30 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: ABC Braga (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ABC Braga

LWLWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/10	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	31-32	L
10/10	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	30-26	W
03/10	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	23-28	L
30/09	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	24-39	L
26/09	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	34-39	L
23/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	34-28	W
19/09	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	27-26	W
13/09	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	32-43	L
29/08	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	32-31	W
23/05	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	33-37	L

Vitoria SC

WLWLWWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	20-20	D
05/10	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	23-51	L
03/10	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	21-47	L
26/09	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	27-30	L
23/09	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	33-29	W
19/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	28-26	W
12/09	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	37-38	L
05/09	AD Carvalhos Portugal Liga Andebol	35-28	W
29/08	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	24-27	L
23/05	FC Gaia Portugal Liga Andebol	32-25	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ABC Braga vs Vitoria SC?

Our model gives 68% to ABC Braga.

How many points are expected in ABC Braga vs Vitoria SC?

The model estimates 60.7 total points (ABC Braga 31.3 · Vitoria SC 29.4).