Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 13/09, 17:00

Prediction: ABC Braga vs Sporting Clube

Team pages: ABC Braga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.8Total

ABC Braga28.5

Sporting Clube36.4

1X2

12% 88%

ABC Braga Sporting Clube

Recent form · 10 last

ABC Braga 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLLLW

Sporting Clube 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

ABC Braga 0–6 Sporting Clube (6 last)

Sporting Clube43-28ABC Braga
ABC Braga24-39Sporting Clube
ABC Braga32-40Sporting Clube
Sporting Clube38-29ABC Braga
Sporting Clube38-29ABC Braga
ABC Braga23-35Sporting Clube

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ABC Braga 1436 · Sporting Clube 1688

	ABC Braga	Sporting Clube
Our model	26%	74%
Market	2%	95%

Estimated total (ours) 64.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.8ABC Braga 28.5 · Sporting Clube 36.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Clube (rating 1436 vs 1688).
Sporting Clube is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Sporting Clube: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ABC Braga	Sporting Clube
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 31.4	37.6 / 27.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.2 / 31.8	38 / 25.6
Est. result	29	36

Est. total64.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.2.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

140.00

X40.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+12.5)1.95

2 (-12.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 63.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	40.00 → 40.00	Bet365 40.00
X	40.00 → 40.00	Bet365 40.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:43 +23’	40.00	40.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ABC Braga 0–0–6 Sporting Clube

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	43-28	ABC Braga
21/09/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	24-39	Sporting Clube
18/05/25 Portugal Cup	ABC Braga	32-40	Sporting Clube
15/05/25 Portugal Cup	Sporting Clube	38-29	ABC Braga
18/12/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	Sporting Clube	38-29	ABC Braga
05/10/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	23-35	Sporting Clube

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	2	2	0	83	48	6
2	Madeira	2	2	0	63	41	6
3	SL Benfica	2	2	0	71	53	6
4	Belenenses	2	1	1	55	55	4
5	Aguas Santas	2	1	1	54	62	4
6	Vitoria SC	2	1	1	59	55	4
7	FC Porto	1	1	0	42	20	3
8	ABC Braga	1	1	0	32	31	3
9	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	2	0	2	61	69	2
10	AD Carvalhos	2	0	2	49	66	2
11	GC Santo Tirso	2	0	2	45	69	2
12	AA Avanca	2	0	2	43	88	2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ABC Braga

LLWDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	32-31	W
23/05	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	33-37	L
09/05	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	27-30	L
02/05	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	27-31	L
26/04	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	27-30	L
11/04	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	27-31	L
28/03	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	31-31	D
07/03	Arsenal Andebol Portugal Liga Andebol	42-28	W
28/02	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	30-35	L
20/02	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	27-30	L

Sporting Clube

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
29/08	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	37-25	W
26/08	AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol	46-23	W
23/05	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	34-22	W
09/05	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	37-29	W
02/05	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	36-29	W
24/04	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	40-28	W
12/04	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	36-29	W
28/03	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	33-30	W
08/03	FC Gaia Portugal Liga Andebol	41-29	W
07/03	Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol	36-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ABC Braga vs Sporting Clube?

Our model gives 88% to Sporting Clube.

How many points are expected in ABC Braga vs Sporting Clube?

The model estimates 64.8 total points (ABC Braga 28.5 · Sporting Clube 36.4).