Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 19/09, 19:00

Prediction: AA Avanca vs ABC Braga

Team pages: AA Avanca · ABC Braga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.7Total

AA Avanca30.2

ABC Braga32.5

1X2

35% 65%

AA Avanca ABC Braga

Recent form · 10 last

AA Avanca 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWWLWLLL

ABC Braga 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

AA Avanca 0–6 ABC Braga (6 last)

ABC Braga34-29AA Avanca
AA Avanca30-34ABC Braga
AA Avanca24-31ABC Braga
ABC Braga33-27AA Avanca
ABC Braga25-22AA Avanca
AA Avanca26-32ABC Braga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AA Avanca 1461 · ABC Braga 1466

	AA Avanca	ABC Braga
Our model	59%	41%
Market	18%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 62.7 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.7AA Avanca 30.2 · ABC Braga 32.5

Match keys

ABC Braga is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours ABC Braga: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	AA Avanca	ABC Braga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.1 / 32.6	30.8 / 32.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.6 / 36.8	30.2 / 34.4
Est. result	30	33

Est. total62.7

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X10.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.85

2 (-4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.95

Under 62.51.75

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 62.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
14:44 +13’	5.00	10.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AA Avanca 0–0–6 ABC Braga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/12/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	34-29	AA Avanca
04/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol	AA Avanca	30-34	ABC Braga
11/12/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	AA Avanca	24-31	ABC Braga
28/09/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	33-27	AA Avanca
17/02/24 Portugal Liga Andebol	ABC Braga	25-22	AA Avanca
07/10/23 Portugal Liga Andebol	AA Avanca	26-32	ABC Braga

Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sporting Clube	3	3	0	126	80	9
2	Madeira	3	3	0	101	78	9
3	SL Benfica	3	2	1	104	90	7
4	Aguas Santas	3	2	1	85	85	7
5	FC Porto	2	2	0	79	53	6
6	Belenenses	3	1	2	80	83	5
7	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao	3	1	2	89	94	5
8	Vitoria SC	3	1	2	96	93	5
9	GC Santo Tirso	3	1	2	81	99	5
10	ABC Braga	2	1	1	64	74	4
11	AD Carvalhos	3	0	3	72	97	3
12	AA Avanca	3	0	3	73	124	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AA Avanca	ABC Braga
Sporting Clube	23-46 L	32-43 L
Arsenal Andebol	38-27 W	42-28 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ABC Braga (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AA Avanca

LWDWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol	30-36	L
29/08	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	20-42	L
26/08	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	23-46	L
23/05	Arsenal Andebol Portugal Liga Andebol	38-27	W
09/05	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	27-33	L
02/05	FC Gaia Portugal Liga Andebol	27-26	W
25/04	Arsenal Andebol Portugal Liga Andebol	34-28	W
11/04	Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol	26-26	D
28/03	FC Gaia Portugal Liga Andebol	26-21	W
14/03	FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol	30-41	L

ABC Braga

LWDLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Sporting Clube Portugal Liga Andebol	32-43	L
29/08	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	32-31	W
23/05	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	33-37	L
09/05	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	27-30	L
02/05	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	27-31	L
26/04	Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol	27-30	L
11/04	Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol	27-31	L
28/03	Belenenses Portugal Liga Andebol	31-31	D
07/03	Arsenal Andebol Portugal Liga Andebol	42-28	W
28/02	SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol	30-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AA Avanca vs ABC Braga?

Our model gives 65% to ABC Braga.

How many points are expected in AA Avanca vs ABC Braga?

The model estimates 62.7 total points (AA Avanca 30.2 · ABC Braga 32.5).