Handball · Portugal Liga Andebol · 23/09, 21:00
Prediction: Belenenses vs Sporting Clube
Team pages: Belenenses · Sporting Clube
Prediction summary
Estimated points
62.9Total
Belenenses27.3
Sporting Clube35.6
1X2
Belenenses
Sporting Clube
Recent form · 10 last
Belenenses
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Sporting Clube
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belenenses
0–6
Sporting Clube
(6 last)
- Sporting Clube46-28Belenenses
- Sporting Clube43-23Belenenses
- Belenenses26-43Sporting Clube
- Sporting Clube43-28Belenenses
- Sporting Clube36-18Belenenses
- Belenenses26-39Sporting Clube
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belenenses 1431 · Sporting Clube 1673
| Belenenses | Sporting Clube | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 2% | 95% |
Estimated total (ours)
62.9 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -3.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points62.9Belenenses 27.3 · Sporting Clube 35.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Clube (rating 1431 vs 1673).
- Sporting Clube is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Sporting Clube: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Belenenses | Sporting Clube | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 28.2 / 30.5 | 37.4 / 27.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 27.6 / 31.2 | 38.4 / 25.8 |
| Est. result | 27 | 36 |
Est. total62.9
Line O/U66.5
Diff.3.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belenenses 0–0–6 Sporting Clube
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Portugal Cup | Sporting Clube | 46-28 | Belenenses |
| 13/12/25 Portugal Liga Andebol | Sporting Clube | 43-23 | Belenenses |
| 01/10/25 Portugal Liga Andebol | Belenenses | 26-43 | Sporting Clube |
| 12/08/25 Club Friendlies | Sporting Clube | 43-28 | Belenenses |
| 11/12/24 Portugal Liga Andebol | Sporting Clube | 36-18 | Belenenses |
| 28/09/24 Portugal Liga Andebol | Belenenses | 26-39 | Sporting Clube |
Standings · Portugal Liga Andebol
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Clube | 4 | 4 | 0 | 158 | 107 | 12 |
| 2 | Madeira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 130 | 105 | 12 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 119 | 78 | 9 |
| 4 | SL Benfica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 131 | 122 | 8 |
| 5 | Povoa Andebol/Bodegao | 4 | 2 | 2 | 122 | 120 | 8 |
| 6 | Aguas Santas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 112 | 114 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 124 | 119 | 8 |
| 8 | ABC Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 91 | 100 | 7 |
| 9 | Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 3 | 105 | 123 | 6 |
| 10 | GC Santo Tirso | 4 | 1 | 3 | 107 | 127 | 6 |
| 11 | AD Carvalhos | 4 | 0 | 4 | 98 | 130 | 4 |
| 12 | AA Avanca | 4 | 0 | 4 | 99 | 151 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Belenenses | Sporting Clube |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 25-40 L | 36-29 W |
| Aguas Santas | 28-31 L | 37-29 W |
| ABC Braga | 31-27 W | 43-32 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting Clube (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belenenses
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol |
25-40 | L |
| 12/09 | Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol |
25-28 | L |
| 05/09 | Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol |
28-31 | L |
| 29/08 | Vitoria SC Portugal Liga Andebol |
27-24 | W |
| 23/05 | Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol |
33-33 | D |
| 10/05 | Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol |
30-32 | L |
| 02/05 | ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol |
31-27 | W |
| 25/04 | Povoa Andebol/Bodegao Portugal Liga Andebol |
26-31 | L |
| 11/04 | Madeira Portugal Liga Andebol |
26-28 | L |
| 28/03 | ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol |
31-31 | D |
Sporting Clube
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol |
32-27 | W |
| 13/09 | ABC Braga Portugal Liga Andebol |
43-32 | W |
| 29/08 | GC Santo Tirso Portugal Liga Andebol |
37-25 | W |
| 26/08 | AA Avanca Portugal Liga Andebol |
46-23 | W |
| 23/05 | SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol |
34-22 | W |
| 09/05 | Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol |
37-29 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol |
36-29 | W |
| 24/04 | SL Benfica Portugal Liga Andebol |
40-28 | W |
| 12/04 | Aguas Santas Portugal Liga Andebol |
36-29 | W |
| 28/03 | FC Porto Portugal Liga Andebol |
33-30 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belenenses vs Sporting Clube?
Our model gives 88% to Sporting Clube.
How many points are expected in Belenenses vs Sporting Clube?
The model estimates 62.9 total points (Belenenses 27.3 · Sporting Clube 35.6).