Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 25/09, 19:00
Prediction: Ademar Leon vs BM Cangas
Team pages: Ademar Leon · BM Cangas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
61.7Total
Ademar Leon30.9
BM Cangas30.7
1X2
Ademar Leon
BM Cangas
Recent form · 10 last
Ademar Leon
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
BM Cangas
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ademar Leon
6–0
BM Cangas
(6 last)
- Ademar Leon25-19BM Cangas
- BM Cangas25-29Ademar Leon
- Ademar Leon33-31BM Cangas
- BM Cangas30-33Ademar Leon
- Ademar Leon38-36BM Cangas
- BM Cangas21-22Ademar Leon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ademar Leon 1427 · BM Cangas 1465
| Ademar Leon | BM Cangas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
61.7 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points61.7Ademar Leon 30.9 · BM Cangas 30.7
Match keys
- H2H favours Ademar Leon: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ademar Leon | BM Cangas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 32.5 / 35.6 | 28.3 / 29.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 32.4 / 34.4 | 30.2 / 31 |
| Est. result | 31 | 31 |
Est. total61.7
Line O/U61.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ademar Leon 6–0–0 BM Cangas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal | Ademar Leon | 25-19 | BM Cangas |
| 14/09/25 Spain Liga Asobal | BM Cangas | 25-29 | Ademar Leon |
| 23/08/25 Club Friendlies | Ademar Leon | 33-31 | BM Cangas |
| 08/04/25 Spain Copa del Rey | BM Cangas | 30-33 | Ademar Leon |
| 05/04/25 Spain Liga Asobal | Ademar Leon | 38-36 | BM Cangas |
| 02/11/24 Spain Liga Asobal | BM Cangas | 21-22 | Ademar Leon |
Standings · Spain Liga Asobal
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 59 | 4 |
| 2 | Bidasoa Irun | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 57 | 4 |
| 3 | Atletico Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 52 | 4 |
| 4 | BM Granollers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 58 | 4 |
| 5 | Caserio Ciudad Real | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 65 | 59 | 3 |
| 6 | BM Torrelavega | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 51 | 2 |
| 7 | Ciudad Encantada | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 60 | 2 |
| 8 | Puerto Sagunto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 65 | 2 |
| 9 | CMB Sporting Alicante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 64 | 2 |
| 10 | BM Logrono La Rioja | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 75 | 2 |
| 11 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 69 | 2 |
| 12 | Villa De Aranda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 64 | 1 |
| 13 | Ademar Leon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 70 | 74 | 0 |
| 14 | BM Cangas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 71 | 0 |
| 15 | BM Triana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 57 | 64 | 0 |
| 16 | BM Nava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 68 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ademar Leon | BM Cangas |
|---|---|---|
| Ciudad Encantada | 32-35 L | 28-24 W |
| Villa De Aranda | 33-35 L | 28-26 W |
| Atletico Valladolid | 27-28 L | 23-29 L |
| CMB Sporting Alicante | 32-35 L | 28-25 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: BM Cangas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ademar Leon
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal |
32-35 | L |
| 13/09 | Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal |
38-39 | L |
| 30/05 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
33-35 | L |
| 23/05 | Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal |
27-28 | L |
| 08/05 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
32-35 | L |
| 02/05 | BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal |
32-32 | D |
| 26/04 | BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal |
33-40 | L |
| 17/04 | BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal |
34-31 | W |
| 10/04 | FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal |
31-48 | L |
| 05/04 | BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal |
33-33 | D |
BM Cangas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal |
32-33 | L |
| 11/09 | BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal |
34-38 | L |
| 31/05 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
32-30 | W |
| 22/05 | Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal |
28-28 | D |
| 10/05 | Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal |
25-26 | L |
| 01/05 | BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal |
25-33 | L |
| 25/04 | Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal |
28-24 | W |
| 19/04 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
28-26 | W |
| 11/04 | Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal |
23-29 | L |
| 05/04 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
28-25 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ademar Leon vs BM Cangas?
Our model gives 61% to Ademar Leon.
How many points are expected in Ademar Leon vs BM Cangas?
The model estimates 61.7 total points (Ademar Leon 30.9 · BM Cangas 30.7).