Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 24/10, 19:30

Prediction: BM Logrono La Rioja vs BM Cangas

Team pages: BM Logrono La Rioja · BM Cangas

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

BM Logrono La Rioja32.3

BM Cangas30

1X2

82% 18%

BM Logrono La Rioja BM Cangas

Recent form · 10 last

BM Logrono La Rioja 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWWWWD

BM Cangas 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLLLWL

Head-to-head

BM Logrono La Rioja 6–0 BM Cangas (6 last)

BM Logrono La Rioja33-26BM Cangas
BM Cangas26-30BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja33-28BM Cangas
BM Cangas29-30BM Logrono La Rioja
BM Logrono La Rioja32-27BM Cangas
BM Cangas29-32BM Logrono La Rioja

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Logrono La Rioja 1542 · BM Cangas 1438

	BM Logrono La Rioja	BM Cangas
Our model	73%	27%
Market	82%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3BM Logrono La Rioja 32.3 · BM Cangas 30

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Logrono La Rioja (rating 1542 vs 1438).
BM Logrono La Rioja is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours BM Logrono La Rioja: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Logrono La Rioja	BM Cangas
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.6 / 32.7	30.3 / 32.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35 / 31.2	31.8 / 34.2
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.3

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

X14.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.88

Under 63.51.88

Diff.: 0.6 · Est. total: 64.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:43 +34’	1.15	14.00	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Logrono La Rioja 6–0–0 BM Cangas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	33-26	BM Cangas
26/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	26-30	BM Logrono La Rioja
14/02/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	33-28	BM Cangas
22/09/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	29-30	BM Logrono La Rioja
03/02/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Logrono La Rioja	32-27	BM Cangas
10/09/23 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	29-32	BM Logrono La Rioja

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Valladolid	6	6	0	0	202	168	12
2	Bidasoa Irun	6	6	0	0	210	178	12
3	FC Barcelona	5	5	0	0	210	151	10
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	6	4	1	1	207	204	9
5	BM Granollers	5	4	0	1	170	152	8
6	BM Torrelavega	6	3	1	2	184	162	7
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	5	3	1	1	160	155	7
8	Ademar Leon	6	2	0	4	212	214	4
9	Puerto Sagunto	6	2	0	4	182	184	4
10	BM Triana	6	2	0	4	191	203	4
11	CMB Sporting Alicante	6	2	0	4	176	203	4
12	Ciudad Encantada	5	1	1	3	160	164	3
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	6	1	1	4	167	200	3
14	BM Cangas	6	1	0	5	193	209	2
15	BM Nava	6	1	0	5	173	216	2
16	Villa De Aranda	6	0	1	5	177	211	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Logrono La Rioja	BM Cangas
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	32-32 D	32-30 W
FC Barcelona	32-48 L	28-37 L
Ademar Leon	32-32 D	32-33 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: BM Cangas (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Logrono La Rioja

DWWLLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D
09/10	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-32	W
03/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	36-32	W
26/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
18/09	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	33-27	W
11/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	32-48	L
31/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	28-41	L
22/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	31-25	W
09/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	28-25	W
02/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D

BM Cangas

LLDWLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	28-37	L
10/10	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W
02/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-40	L
25/09	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
19/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
11/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	34-38	L
31/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-30	W
22/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
10/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L
01/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	25-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Logrono La Rioja vs BM Cangas?

Our model gives 82% to BM Logrono La Rioja.

How many points are expected in BM Logrono La Rioja vs BM Cangas?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (BM Logrono La Rioja 32.3 · BM Cangas 30).