Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 31/10, 17:30

Prediction: BM Nava vs Ciudad Encantada

Team pages: BM Nava · Ciudad Encantada

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.6Total

BM Nava33.4

Ciudad Encantada32.2

1X2

58% 42%

BM Nava Ciudad Encantada

Recent form · 10 last

BM Nava 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLWLD

Ciudad Encantada 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLDDL

Head-to-head

BM Nava 4–2 Ciudad Encantada (6 last)

BM Nava30-27Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada33-32BM Nava
BM Nava33-32Ciudad Encantada
Ciudad Encantada24-25BM Nava
BM Nava28-32Ciudad Encantada
BM Nava35-32Ciudad Encantada

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Nava 1492 · Ciudad Encantada 1452

	BM Nava	Ciudad Encantada
Our model	65%	35%
Market	47%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 65.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +4.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.6BM Nava 33.4 · Ciudad Encantada 32.2

Match keys

H2H favours BM Nava: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Nava	Ciudad Encantada
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.8 / 34	31.7 / 34.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.8 / 36.6	32.4 / 37
Est. result	33	32

Est. total65.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.4.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.00

X8.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 4.5 · Est. total: 66

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.88 → 2.00▲	Bet365 2.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.45 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:00 +16’	1.88	8.00	2.45
13:10 +7’	2.00▲	8.00	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Nava 4–0–2 Ciudad Encantada

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Spain Copa del Rey	BM Nava	30-27	Ciudad Encantada
05/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	33-32	BM Nava
08/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	33-32	Ciudad Encantada
04/05/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Ciudad Encantada	24-25	BM Nava
07/12/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	28-32	Ciudad Encantada
18/05/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Nava	35-32	Ciudad Encantada

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	7	7	0	0	246	210	14
2	Atletico Valladolid	7	6	1	0	237	203	13
3	FC Barcelona	6	6	0	0	255	178	12
4	BM Granollers	7	5	1	1	238	219	11
5	BM Logrono La Rioja	7	5	1	1	246	236	11
6	BM Torrelavega	7	4	1	2	221	195	9
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	6	3	1	2	192	191	7
8	Ademar Leon	7	3	0	4	247	246	6
9	Puerto Sagunto	7	2	1	4	209	211	5
10	BM Triana	7	2	0	5	224	240	4
11	Ciudad Encantada	7	1	2	4	223	245	4
12	CMB Sporting Alicante	7	2	0	5	208	238	4
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	7	1	1	5	198	232	3
14	BM Nava	7	1	1	5	208	251	3
15	BM Cangas	7	1	0	6	225	248	2
16	Villa De Aranda	7	0	2	5	204	238	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Nava	Ciudad Encantada
Atletico Valladolid	35-35 D	26-28 L
Ademar Leon	38-36 W	35-32 W
BM Triana	34-35 L	36-37 L
BM Logrono La Rioja	33-38 L	32-36 L
BM Torrelavega	19-33 L	31-31 D
Bidasoa Irun	25-35 L	30-36 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Ciudad Encantada (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Nava

LWWLLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	35-35	D
17/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	24-39	L
10/10	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	38-36	W
03/10	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	34-35	L
26/09	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	33-38	L
19/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	19-33	L
12/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-35	L
13/06	Agustinos Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	41-28	W
10/06	Agustinos Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	34-25	W
31/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	35-36	L

Ciudad Encantada

LWLLWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-45	L
22/10	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	36-36	D
17/10	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	31-31	D
09/10	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	32-36	L
26/09	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	36-37	L
20/09	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
12/09	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	26-28	L
31/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	30-36	L
22/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	34-33	W
08/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	30-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Nava vs Ciudad Encantada?

Our model gives 58% to BM Nava.

How many points are expected in BM Nava vs Ciudad Encantada?

The model estimates 65.6 total points (BM Nava 33.4 · Ciudad Encantada 32.2).