Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: Ademar Leon vs Bidasoa Irun
Team pages: Ademar Leon · Bidasoa Irun
Prediction summary
Estimated points
66.1Total
Ademar Leon32.3
Bidasoa Irun33.8
1X2
Ademar Leon
Bidasoa Irun
Recent form · 10 last
Ademar Leon
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Bidasoa Irun
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ademar Leon
2–3–1
Bidasoa Irun
(6 last)
- Ademar Leon28-30Bidasoa Irun
- Bidasoa Irun26-26Ademar Leon
- Bidasoa Irun30-30Ademar Leon
- Ademar Leon29-29Bidasoa Irun
- Bidasoa Irun22-27Ademar Leon
- Ademar Leon33-32Bidasoa Irun
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ademar Leon 1450 · Bidasoa Irun 1579
| Ademar Leon | Bidasoa Irun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 27% | 63% |
Estimated total (ours)
66.1 points · Bet365 line 65.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points66.1Ademar Leon 32.3 · Bidasoa Irun 33.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bidasoa Irun (rating 1450 vs 1579).
- Bidasoa Irun is a clear favourite (65% market).
- H2H favours Ademar Leon: 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Ademar Leon | Bidasoa Irun | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 33.9 / 34.4 | 33.9 / 29.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 35.4 / 34.4 | 35.6 / 30.6 |
| Est. result | 32 | 34 |
Est. total66.1
Line O/U65.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ademar Leon 2–3–1 Bidasoa Irun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal | Ademar Leon | 28-30 | Bidasoa Irun |
| 25/09/25 Spain Liga Asobal | Bidasoa Irun | 26-26 | Ademar Leon |
| 07/06/25 Spain Copa del Rey | Bidasoa Irun | 30-30 | Ademar Leon |
| 08/03/25 Spain Liga Asobal | Ademar Leon | 29-29 | Bidasoa Irun |
| 12/10/24 Spain Liga Asobal | Bidasoa Irun | 22-27 | Ademar Leon |
| 21/04/24 Spain Liga Asobal | Ademar Leon | 33-32 | Bidasoa Irun |
Standings · Spain Liga Asobal
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bidasoa Irun | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 210 | 14 |
| 2 | Atletico Valladolid | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 203 | 13 |
| 3 | FC Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 178 | 12 |
| 4 | BM Granollers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 219 | 11 |
| 5 | BM Logrono La Rioja | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 236 | 11 |
| 6 | BM Torrelavega | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 195 | 9 |
| 7 | Caserio Ciudad Real | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 192 | 191 | 7 |
| 8 | Ademar Leon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 247 | 246 | 6 |
| 9 | Puerto Sagunto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 209 | 211 | 5 |
| 10 | BM Triana | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 224 | 240 | 4 |
| 11 | Ciudad Encantada | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 223 | 245 | 4 |
| 12 | CMB Sporting Alicante | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 208 | 238 | 4 |
| 13 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 198 | 232 | 3 |
| 14 | BM Nava | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 208 | 251 | 3 |
| 15 | BM Cangas | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 225 | 248 | 2 |
| 16 | Villa De Aranda | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 204 | 238 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ademar Leon | Bidasoa Irun |
|---|---|---|
| CMB Sporting Alicante | 35-32 W | 34-31 W |
| Villa De Aranda | 40-35 W | 39-32 W |
| BM Nava | 36-38 L | 35-25 W |
| Caserio Ciudad Real | 33-35 L | 36-32 W |
| BM Cangas | 33-32 W | 33-32 W |
| Ciudad Encantada | 32-35 L | 36-30 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Bidasoa Irun (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ademar Leon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
35-32 | W |
| 16/10 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
40-35 | W |
| 10/10 | BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal |
36-38 | L |
| 02/10 | Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal |
33-35 | L |
| 25/09 | BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal |
33-32 | W |
| 20/09 | Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal |
32-35 | L |
| 13/09 | Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal |
38-39 | L |
| 30/05 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
33-35 | L |
| 23/05 | Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal |
27-28 | L |
| 08/05 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
32-35 | L |
Bidasoa Irun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal |
36-32 | W |
| 17/10 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
34-31 | W |
| 10/10 | BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal |
38-33 | W |
| 03/10 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
31-25 | W |
| 26/09 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
39-32 | W |
| 19/09 | BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal |
33-32 | W |
| 12/09 | BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal |
35-25 | W |
| 31/05 | Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal |
36-30 | W |
| 22/05 | BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal |
31-32 | L |
| 10/05 | BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal |
26-25 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ademar Leon vs Bidasoa Irun?
Our model gives 65% to Bidasoa Irun.
How many points are expected in Ademar Leon vs Bidasoa Irun?
The model estimates 66.1 total points (Ademar Leon 32.3 · Bidasoa Irun 33.8).