Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs Villa De Aranda

Team pages: Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil · Villa De Aranda

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60Total

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil30.3

Villa De Aranda29.8

1X2

64% 36%

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Villa De Aranda

Recent form · 10 last

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLLDL

Villa De Aranda 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 4–2 Villa De Aranda (6 last)

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil28-27Villa De Aranda
Villa De Aranda26-24Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Villa De Aranda28-25Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil31-28Villa De Aranda
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil28-21Villa De Aranda
Villa De Aranda26-28Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 1467 · Villa De Aranda 1482

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	Villa De Aranda
Our model	58%	42%
Market	61%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 60 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 30.3 · Villa De Aranda 29.8

Match keys

H2H favours Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	Villa De Aranda
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.9 / 31.6	29.8 / 32.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28 / 32.6	29.6 / 34.8
Est. result	30	30

Est. total60

Line O/U57.5

Diff.2.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

X8.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.78

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.88

Under 57.51.88

Diff.: 3.4 · Est. total: 60.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
10:57 +18’	1.55	8.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 4–0–2 Villa De Aranda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	28-27	Villa De Aranda
16/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Villa De Aranda	26-24	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
03/05/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Villa De Aranda	28-25	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil
07/12/24 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	31-28	Villa De Aranda
03/02/21 Spain Liga Asobal	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	28-21	Villa De Aranda
25/11/20 Spain Liga Asobal	Villa De Aranda	26-28	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	7	7	0	0	246	210	14
2	Atletico Valladolid	7	6	1	0	237	203	13
3	FC Barcelona	6	6	0	0	255	178	12
4	BM Granollers	7	5	1	1	238	219	11
5	BM Logrono La Rioja	7	5	1	1	246	236	11
6	BM Torrelavega	7	4	1	2	221	195	9
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	6	3	1	2	192	191	7
8	Ademar Leon	7	3	0	4	247	246	6
9	Puerto Sagunto	7	2	1	4	209	211	5
10	BM Triana	7	2	0	5	224	240	4
11	Ciudad Encantada	7	1	2	4	223	245	4
12	CMB Sporting Alicante	7	2	0	5	208	238	4
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	7	1	1	5	198	232	3
14	BM Nava	7	1	1	5	208	251	3
15	BM Cangas	7	1	0	6	225	248	2
16	Villa De Aranda	7	0	2	5	204	238	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	Villa De Aranda
Atletico Valladolid	24-33 L	26-34 L
Bidasoa Irun	25-31 L	32-39 L
BM Torrelavega	28-35 L	21-28 L
FC Barcelona	27-39 L	33-40 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Villa De Aranda (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil

LWLWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-32	L
17/10	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D
11/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	24-33	L
03/10	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-31	L
26/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	28-35	L
20/09	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	27-39	L
12/09	BM Sevilla Spain Liga Asobal	31-30	W
31/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	30-32	L
22/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	23-25	L

Villa De Aranda

WLWDLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	27-27	D
16/10	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-40	L
11/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	33-40	L
03/10	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	21-28	L
26/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-39	L
19/09	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	26-34	L
13/09	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	30-30	D
30/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-33	W
22/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	27-28	L
09/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	32-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs Villa De Aranda?

Our model gives 64% to Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil.

How many points are expected in Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil vs Villa De Aranda?

The model estimates 60 total points (Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil 30.3 · Villa De Aranda 29.8).