Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: BM Cangas vs CMB Sporting Alicante

Team pages: BM Cangas · CMB Sporting Alicante

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.6Total

BM Cangas31.2

CMB Sporting Alicante31.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

BM Cangas CMB Sporting Alicante

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 59.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

BM Cangas 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLWLL

CMB Sporting Alicante 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLLWLL

Head-to-head

BM Cangas 1–1–1 CMB Sporting Alicante (3 last)

BM Cangas28-25CMB Sporting Alicante
CMB Sporting Alicante34-24BM Cangas
CMB Sporting Alicante29-29BM Cangas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BM Cangas 1462 · CMB Sporting Alicante 1478

	BM Cangas	CMB Sporting Alicante
Our model	58%	42%
Market	50%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 62.6 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.6BM Cangas 31.2 · CMB Sporting Alicante 31.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BM Cangas	CMB Sporting Alicante
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 33.2	30.9 / 33.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 35.4	29.4 / 34.8
Est. result	31	31

Est. total62.6

Line O/U59.5

Diff.3.1

Over / Under80% / 20%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.88

X8.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 4.6 · Est. total: 64.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.88 → 1.88	Bet365 1.88
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:12 +5’	1.88	8.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BM Cangas 1–1–1 CMB Sporting Alicante

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Cangas	28-25	CMB Sporting Alicante
07/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal	CMB Sporting Alicante	34-24	BM Cangas
19/03/24 Spain Copa del Rey	CMB Sporting Alicante	29-29	BM Cangas

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	7	7	0	0	246	210	14
2	Atletico Valladolid	7	6	1	0	237	203	13
3	FC Barcelona	6	6	0	0	255	178	12
4	BM Granollers	7	5	1	1	238	219	11
5	BM Logrono La Rioja	7	5	1	1	246	236	11
6	BM Torrelavega	7	4	1	2	221	195	9
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	6	3	1	2	192	191	7
8	Ademar Leon	7	3	0	4	247	246	6
9	Puerto Sagunto	7	2	1	4	209	211	5
10	BM Triana	7	2	0	5	224	240	4
11	Ciudad Encantada	7	1	2	4	223	245	4
12	CMB Sporting Alicante	7	2	0	5	208	238	4
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	7	1	1	5	198	232	3
14	BM Nava	7	1	1	5	208	251	3
15	BM Cangas	7	1	0	6	225	248	2
16	Villa De Aranda	7	0	2	5	204	238	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BM Cangas	CMB Sporting Alicante
FC Barcelona	28-37 L	31-46 L
BM Torrelavega	31-28 W	32-29 W
Ademar Leon	32-33 L	32-35 L
Bidasoa Irun	32-33 L	31-34 L
BM Granollers	34-38 L	31-41 L
Caserio Ciudad Real	28-28 D	29-35 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: BM Cangas (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BM Cangas

LDWLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	32-39	L
18/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	28-37	L
10/10	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	31-28	W
02/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	36-40	L
25/09	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
19/09	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	32-33	L
11/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	34-38	L
31/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	32-30	W
22/05	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
10/05	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	25-26	L

CMB Sporting Alicante

WLWWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	32-35	L
17/10	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	31-34	L
09/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	22-18	W
03/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	31-46	L
26/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-41	L
20/09	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	29-35	L
12/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	32-29	W
31/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	34-27	W
22/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	32-34	L
08/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BM Cangas vs CMB Sporting Alicante?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (BM Cangas 57% · CMB Sporting Alicante 43%).

How many points are expected in BM Cangas vs CMB Sporting Alicante?

The model estimates 62.6 total points (BM Cangas 31.2 · CMB Sporting Alicante 31.3).