Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 30/10, 20:30

Prediction: Atletico Valladolid vs BM Torrelavega

Team pages: Atletico Valladolid · BM Torrelavega

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.2Total

Atletico Valladolid30.5

BM Torrelavega29.7

1X2

61% 39%

Atletico Valladolid BM Torrelavega

Recent form · 10 last

Atletico Valladolid 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWD

BM Torrelavega 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Atletico Valladolid 2–2–2 BM Torrelavega (6 last)

BM Torrelavega26-32Atletico Valladolid
Atletico Valladolid27-29BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega24-24Atletico Valladolid
Atletico Valladolid28-31BM Torrelavega
BM Torrelavega31-31Atletico Valladolid
BM Torrelavega30-32Atletico Valladolid

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Valladolid 1567 · BM Torrelavega 1553

	Atletico Valladolid	BM Torrelavega
Our model	62%	38%
Market	54%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 60.2 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.2Atletico Valladolid 30.5 · BM Torrelavega 29.7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Atletico Valladolid	BM Torrelavega
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.6 / 28.8	31.7 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35 / 30.2	31.8 / 28.8
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.2

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.75

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.78

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 61.05

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 17:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.75▲	Bet365 1.75
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.00 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +5’	1.65	8.50	3.00
13:08 +9’	1.75▲	8.00▼	2.70▼
14:16 +3’	1.75	8.50▲	2.70
15:12 +7’	1.75	8.00▼	2.70
16:42 +36’	1.75	8.50▲	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Valladolid 2–2–2 BM Torrelavega

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Club Friendlies	BM Torrelavega	26-32	Atletico Valladolid
26/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	27-29	BM Torrelavega
03/10/25 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	24-24	Atletico Valladolid
01/06/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Atletico Valladolid	28-31	BM Torrelavega
22/12/24 Spain Liga Asobal	BM Torrelavega	31-31	Atletico Valladolid
10/08/24 Club Friendlies	BM Torrelavega	30-32	Atletico Valladolid

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bidasoa Irun	7	7	0	0	246	210	14
2	Atletico Valladolid	7	6	1	0	237	203	13
3	FC Barcelona	6	6	0	0	255	178	12
4	BM Granollers	7	5	1	1	238	219	11
5	BM Logrono La Rioja	7	5	1	1	246	236	11
6	BM Torrelavega	7	4	1	2	221	195	9
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	6	3	1	2	192	191	7
8	Ademar Leon	7	3	0	4	247	246	6
9	Puerto Sagunto	7	2	1	4	209	211	5
10	BM Triana	7	2	0	5	224	240	4
11	Ciudad Encantada	7	1	2	4	223	245	4
12	CMB Sporting Alicante	7	2	0	5	208	238	4
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	7	1	1	5	198	232	3
14	BM Nava	7	1	1	5	208	251	3
15	BM Cangas	7	1	0	6	225	248	2
16	Villa De Aranda	7	0	2	5	204	238	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atletico Valladolid	BM Torrelavega
BM Nava	35-35 D	33-19 W
Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	33-24 W	35-28 W
BM Cangas	40-36 W	28-31 L
Villa De Aranda	34-26 W	28-21 W
Ciudad Encantada	28-26 W	31-31 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atletico Valladolid (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Valladolid

WWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	35-35	D
17/10	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	30-26	W
11/10	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	33-24	W
02/10	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	40-36	W
27/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	37-30	W
19/09	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	34-26	W
12/09	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	28-26	W
31/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	36-35	W
23/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	28-27	W
10/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-23	W

BM Torrelavega

WLWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
25/10	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	37-33	W
17/10	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	31-31	D
10/10	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	28-31	L
03/10	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	28-21	W
26/09	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	35-28	W
19/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	33-19	W
12/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	29-32	L
31/05	BM Guadalajara Spain Liga Asobal	39-31	W
22/05	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	24-36	L
09/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	33-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Valladolid vs BM Torrelavega?

Our model gives 61% to Atletico Valladolid.

How many points are expected in Atletico Valladolid vs BM Torrelavega?

The model estimates 60.2 total points (Atletico Valladolid 30.5 · BM Torrelavega 29.7).