Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 25/10, 12:00

Prediction: CMB Sporting Alicante vs Ademar Leon

Team pages: CMB Sporting Alicante · Ademar Leon

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.6Total

CMB Sporting Alicante32.5

Ademar Leon32.1

1X2

68% 32%

CMB Sporting Alicante Ademar Leon

Recent form · 10 last

CMB Sporting Alicante 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLLLWL

Ademar Leon 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLWLLW

Head-to-head

CMB Sporting Alicante 1–1 Ademar Leon (2 last)

CMB Sporting Alicante35-32Ademar Leon
Ademar Leon29-28CMB Sporting Alicante

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CMB Sporting Alicante 1482 · Ademar Leon 1447

	CMB Sporting Alicante	Ademar Leon
Our model	65%	35%
Market	63%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 64.6 points · Bet365 line 64.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.6CMB Sporting Alicante 32.5 · Ademar Leon 32.1

Match keys

CMB Sporting Alicante is a clear favourite (68% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CMB Sporting Alicante	Ademar Leon
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 32.1	33.6 / 34.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 34.8	34.8 / 35
Est. result	33	32

Est. total64.6

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.50

X9.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 65.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:14 +3’	1.50	9.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CMB Sporting Alicante 1–0–1 Ademar Leon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Spain Liga Asobal	CMB Sporting Alicante	35-32	Ademar Leon
14/12/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Ademar Leon	29-28	CMB Sporting Alicante

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Valladolid	6	6	0	0	202	168	12
2	Bidasoa Irun	6	6	0	0	210	178	12
3	FC Barcelona	5	5	0	0	210	151	10
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	6	4	1	1	207	204	9
5	BM Granollers	5	4	0	1	170	152	8
6	BM Torrelavega	6	3	1	2	184	162	7
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	5	3	1	1	160	155	7
8	Ademar Leon	6	2	0	4	212	214	4
9	Puerto Sagunto	6	2	0	4	182	184	4
10	BM Triana	6	2	0	4	191	203	4
11	CMB Sporting Alicante	6	2	0	4	176	203	4
12	Ciudad Encantada	5	1	1	3	160	164	3
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	6	1	1	4	167	200	3
14	BM Cangas	6	1	0	5	193	209	2
15	BM Nava	6	1	0	5	173	216	2
16	Villa De Aranda	6	0	1	5	177	211	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CMB Sporting Alicante	Ademar Leon
Puerto Sagunto	22-18 W	38-39 L
Caserio Ciudad Real	29-35 L	33-35 L
BM Nava	32-34 L	36-38 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CMB Sporting Alicante

DWLWWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal	31-34	L
09/10	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	22-18	W
03/10	FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal	31-46	L
26/09	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-41	L
20/09	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	29-35	L
12/09	BM Torrelavega Spain Liga Asobal	32-29	W
31/05	BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal	34-27	W
22/05	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	32-34	L
08/05	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-32	W
02/05	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	25-25	D

Ademar Leon

DLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/10	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	40-35	W
10/10	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	36-38	L
02/10	Caserio Ciudad Real Spain Liga Asobal	33-35	L
25/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-32	W
20/09	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	32-35	L
13/09	Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal	38-39	L
30/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	33-35	L
23/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	27-28	L
08/05	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	32-35	L
02/05	BM Logrono La Rioja Spain Liga Asobal	32-32	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CMB Sporting Alicante vs Ademar Leon?

Our model gives 68% to CMB Sporting Alicante.

How many points are expected in CMB Sporting Alicante vs Ademar Leon?

The model estimates 64.6 total points (CMB Sporting Alicante 32.5 · Ademar Leon 32.1).