Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 30/10, 18:00
Prediction: Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Logrono La Rioja
Team pages: Caserio Ciudad Real · BM Logrono La Rioja
Prediction summary
Estimated points
64.6Total
Caserio Ciudad Real31.8
BM Logrono La Rioja32.7
1X2
Caserio Ciudad Real
BM Logrono La Rioja
Recent form · 10 last
Caserio Ciudad Real
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
BM Logrono La Rioja
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Caserio Ciudad Real
0–2
BM Logrono La Rioja
(2 last)
- Caserio Ciudad Real28-33BM Logrono La Rioja
- BM Logrono La Rioja38-35Caserio Ciudad Real
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caserio Ciudad Real 1493 · BM Logrono La Rioja 1563
| Caserio Ciudad Real | BM Logrono La Rioja | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 30% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
64.6 points · Bet365 line 64.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points64.6Caserio Ciudad Real 31.8 · BM Logrono La Rioja 32.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BM Logrono La Rioja (rating 1493 vs 1563).
- H2H favours BM Logrono La Rioja: 2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Caserio Ciudad Real | BM Logrono La Rioja | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30.8 / 31.9 | 33.3 / 32.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 32.4 / 32.2 | 36.2 / 32.2 |
| Est. result | 32 | 33 |
Est. total64.6
Line O/U64.5
Diff.0.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Caserio Ciudad Real 0–0–2 BM Logrono La Rioja
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Spain Liga Asobal | Caserio Ciudad Real | 28-33 | BM Logrono La Rioja |
| 22/11/25 Spain Liga Asobal | BM Logrono La Rioja | 38-35 | Caserio Ciudad Real |
Standings · Spain Liga Asobal
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bidasoa Irun | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 210 | 14 |
| 2 | Atletico Valladolid | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 203 | 13 |
| 3 | FC Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 178 | 12 |
| 4 | BM Granollers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 238 | 219 | 11 |
| 5 | BM Logrono La Rioja | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 246 | 236 | 11 |
| 6 | BM Torrelavega | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 221 | 195 | 9 |
| 7 | Caserio Ciudad Real | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 192 | 191 | 7 |
| 8 | Ademar Leon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 247 | 246 | 6 |
| 9 | Puerto Sagunto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 209 | 211 | 5 |
| 10 | BM Triana | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 224 | 240 | 4 |
| 11 | Ciudad Encantada | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 223 | 245 | 4 |
| 12 | CMB Sporting Alicante | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 208 | 238 | 4 |
| 13 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 198 | 232 | 3 |
| 14 | BM Nava | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 208 | 251 | 3 |
| 15 | BM Cangas | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 225 | 248 | 2 |
| 16 | Villa De Aranda | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 204 | 238 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caserio Ciudad Real
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Bidasoa Irun Spain Liga Asobal |
32-36 | L |
| 17/10 | Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal |
26-30 | L |
| 09/10 | BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal |
34-33 | W |
| 02/10 | Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal |
35-33 | W |
| 20/09 | CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal |
35-29 | W |
| 13/09 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
30-30 | D |
| 31/05 | BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal |
29-38 | L |
| 22/05 | BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal |
28-28 | D |
| 09/05 | Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal |
26-32 | L |
| 03/05 | Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal |
33-30 | W |
BM Logrono La Rioja
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal |
39-32 | W |
| 17/10 | Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal |
32-32 | D |
| 09/10 | Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal |
36-32 | W |
| 03/10 | Puerto Sagunto Spain Liga Asobal |
36-32 | W |
| 26/09 | BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal |
38-33 | W |
| 18/09 | BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal |
33-27 | W |
| 11/09 | FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal |
32-48 | L |
| 31/05 | FC Barcelona Spain Liga Asobal |
28-41 | L |
| 22/05 | BM Huesca Spain Liga Asobal |
31-25 | W |
| 09/05 | BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal |
28-25 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Logrono La Rioja?
Our model gives 60% to BM Logrono La Rioja.
How many points are expected in Caserio Ciudad Real vs BM Logrono La Rioja?
The model estimates 64.6 total points (Caserio Ciudad Real 31.8 · BM Logrono La Rioja 32.7).