Handball · Spain Liga Asobal · 23/10, 19:00

Prediction: Bidasoa Irun vs Caserio Ciudad Real

Team pages: Bidasoa Irun · Caserio Ciudad Real

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.8Total

Bidasoa Irun32.4

Caserio Ciudad Real30.4

1X2

73% 27%

Bidasoa Irun Caserio Ciudad Real

Recent form · 10 last

Bidasoa Irun 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWW

Caserio Ciudad Real 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLDWWWL

Head-to-head

Bidasoa Irun 2–1 Caserio Ciudad Real (3 last)

Caserio Ciudad Real33-30Bidasoa Irun
Bidasoa Irun32-25Caserio Ciudad Real
Bidasoa Irun43-28Caserio Ciudad Real

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bidasoa Irun 1555 · Caserio Ciudad Real 1534

	Bidasoa Irun	Caserio Ciudad Real
Our model	63%	37%
Market	73%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 62.8 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.8Bidasoa Irun 32.4 · Caserio Ciudad Real 30.4

Match keys

Bidasoa Irun is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours Bidasoa Irun: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Bidasoa Irun	Caserio Ciudad Real
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.5 / 29.1	30.7 / 30.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35 / 30.6	32 / 31
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.8

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.30

X11.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.80

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · Est. total: 62.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:56 +20’	1.30	11.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bidasoa Irun 2–0–1 Caserio Ciudad Real

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/02/26 Spain Liga Asobal	Caserio Ciudad Real	33-30	Bidasoa Irun
12/09/25 Spain Liga Asobal	Bidasoa Irun	32-25	Caserio Ciudad Real
31/05/24 Spain Copa del Rey	Bidasoa Irun	43-28	Caserio Ciudad Real

Standings · Spain Liga Asobal

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Valladolid	6	6	0	0	202	168	12
2	Bidasoa Irun	6	6	0	0	210	178	12
3	FC Barcelona	5	5	0	0	210	151	10
4	BM Logrono La Rioja	6	4	1	1	207	204	9
5	BM Granollers	5	4	0	1	170	152	8
6	BM Torrelavega	6	3	1	2	184	162	7
7	Caserio Ciudad Real	5	3	1	1	160	155	7
8	Ademar Leon	6	2	0	4	212	214	4
9	Puerto Sagunto	6	2	0	4	182	184	4
10	BM Triana	6	2	0	4	191	203	4
11	CMB Sporting Alicante	6	2	0	4	176	203	4
12	Ciudad Encantada	5	1	1	3	160	164	3
13	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil	6	1	1	4	167	200	3
14	BM Cangas	6	1	0	5	193	209	2
15	BM Nava	6	1	0	5	173	216	2
16	Villa De Aranda	6	0	1	5	177	211	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bidasoa Irun	Caserio Ciudad Real
CMB Sporting Alicante	34-31 W	35-29 W
Villa De Aranda	39-32 W	30-30 D
BM Cangas	33-32 W	28-28 D
BM Granollers	31-32 L	34-33 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bidasoa Irun

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	34-31	W
10/10	BM Triana Spain Liga Asobal	38-33	W
03/10	Angel Ximenez-Puente Genil Spain Liga Asobal	31-25	W
26/09	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	39-32	W
19/09	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	33-32	W
12/09	BM Nava Spain Liga Asobal	35-25	W
31/05	Ciudad Encantada Spain Liga Asobal	36-30	W
22/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	31-32	L
10/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	26-25	W
02/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	32-26	W

Caserio Ciudad Real

WWLDLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	26-30	L
09/10	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	34-33	W
02/10	Ademar Leon Spain Liga Asobal	35-33	W
20/09	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	35-29	W
13/09	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	30-30	D
31/05	BM Granollers Spain Liga Asobal	29-38	L
22/05	BM Cangas Spain Liga Asobal	28-28	D
09/05	Villa De Aranda Spain Liga Asobal	26-32	L
03/05	Atletico Valladolid Spain Liga Asobal	33-30	W
24/04	CMB Sporting Alicante Spain Liga Asobal	31-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bidasoa Irun vs Caserio Ciudad Real?

Our model gives 73% to Bidasoa Irun.

How many points are expected in Bidasoa Irun vs Caserio Ciudad Real?

The model estimates 62.8 total points (Bidasoa Irun 32.4 · Caserio Ciudad Real 30.4).