Handball · France Starligue · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: Limoges HB 87 vs USAM Nimes

Team pages: Limoges HB 87 · USAM Nimes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.4Total

Limoges HB 8733.8

USAM Nimes31.6

1X2

67% 33%

Limoges HB 87 USAM Nimes

Markets

Over 63.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Limoges HB 87 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWLW

USAM Nimes 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Limoges HB 87 2–1–3 USAM Nimes (6 last)

USAM Nimes28-31Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8733-33USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes37-31Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8730-33USAM Nimes
USAM Nimes34-37Limoges HB 87
USAM Nimes26-24Limoges HB 87

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Limoges HB 87 1565 · USAM Nimes 1529

	Limoges HB 87	USAM Nimes
Our model	65%	35%
Market	61%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 65.4 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +1.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.4Limoges HB 87 33.8 · USAM Nimes 31.6

Over / Under 63.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~65.5 pts · strength 2

Match keys

Limoges HB 87 is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours USAM Nimes: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Limoges HB 87	USAM Nimes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34 / 31.5	31.2 / 32.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.2 / 29.6	32.2 / 31.8
Est. result	34	32

Est. total65.4

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.9

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

X8.50

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.78

2 (+1.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.9 · Est. total: 64.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:47 +8’	1.55	8.50	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Limoges HB 87 2–1–3 USAM Nimes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	28-31	Limoges HB 87
21/11/25 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	33-33	USAM Nimes
01/03/25 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	37-31	Limoges HB 87
20/12/24 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	30-33	USAM Nimes
26/05/24 France Starligue	USAM Nimes	34-37	Limoges HB 87
12/12/23 France Cup	USAM Nimes	26-24	Limoges HB 87

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	5	5	0	0	168	139	10
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172	141	8
3	USAM Nimes	5	4	0	1	161	159	8
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173	146	7
5	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
6	Limoges HB 87	5	3	0	2	166	148	6
7	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
8	Tremblay	5	3	0	2	171	165	6
9	Caen Handball	5	3	0	2	139	155	6
10	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140	141	4
11	Selestat Alsace HB	5	2	0	3	151	161	4
12	Chartres Metropole HB 28	5	2	0	3	142	164	4
13	Chambery Savoie	5	1	1	3	155	163	3
14	Cesson Rennes	5	1	0	4	142	154	2
15	Saint Raphael	5	1	0	4	139	156	2
16	Dunkerque	5	0	0	5	127	148	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Limoges HB 87	USAM Nimes
Cesson Rennes	31-29 W	34-32 W
USM Saran	28-30 L	32-31 W
Dunkerque	35-32 W	27-25 W
Chambery Savoie	35-37 L	31-31 D
Chartres Metropole HB 28	39-30 W	31-33 L
Pays d'Aix UC	30-27 W	35-33 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Limoges HB 87 (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Limoges HB 87

WWLWLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-29	W
26/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	33-35	L
18/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	38-23	W
10/09	USM Saran France Starligue	28-30	L
04/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-31	W
06/06	Nantes France Starligue	35-41	L
02/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	35-32	W
28/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	35-37	L
08/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	39-30	W
02/05	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	30-27	W

USAM Nimes

LDDLLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	35-33	W
25/09	Dunkerque France Starligue	27-25	W
18/09	USM Saran France Starligue	32-31	W
13/09	Montpellier France Starligue	33-38	L
04/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	34-32	W
06/06	Montpellier France Starligue	30-34	L
02/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	31-33	L
29/05	Dunkerque France Starligue	31-31	D
07/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	31-31	D
01/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	28-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Limoges HB 87 vs USAM Nimes?

Our model gives 67% to Limoges HB 87.

How many points are expected in Limoges HB 87 vs USAM Nimes?

The model estimates 65.4 total points (Limoges HB 87 33.8 · USAM Nimes 31.6).

Over or under 63.5 points?

Recent history points to over 63.5 points (65%).