Handball · France Starligue · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Chambery Savoie vs Pays d'Aix UC

Team pages: Chambery Savoie · Pays d'Aix UC

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.3Total

Chambery Savoie31.9

Pays d'Aix UC32.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

61% 39%

Chambery Savoie Pays d'Aix UC

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Over 61.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Chambery Savoie 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWLLWLDD

Pays d'Aix UC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Chambery Savoie 3–1–2 Pays d'Aix UC (6 last)

Chambery Savoie31-29Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC32-32Chambery Savoie
Chambery Savoie33-29Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC30-27Chambery Savoie
Chambery Savoie32-26Pays d'Aix UC
Pays d'Aix UC35-34Chambery Savoie

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chambery Savoie 1491 · Pays d'Aix UC 1500

	Chambery Savoie	Pays d'Aix UC
Our model	59%	41%
Market	55%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 64.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.3Chambery Savoie 31.9 · Pays d'Aix UC 32.4

Over / Under 61.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~63.3 pts · strength 2

Match keys

H2H favours Chambery Savoie: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chambery Savoie	Pays d'Aix UC
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.6 / 32.1	33.1 / 31.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.2 / 33.2	32 / 31.4
Est. result	32	32

Est. total64.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.8

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.70

X8.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2.8 · Est. total: 64.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.70▲	Bet365 1.70
X	9.00 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	4.00 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:23 +54’	1.42	9.00	4.00
20:46 +33’	1.70▲	8.00▼	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chambery Savoie 3–1–2 Pays d'Aix UC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 France Starligue	Chambery Savoie	31-29	Pays d'Aix UC
09/10/25 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	32-32	Chambery Savoie
04/04/25 France Starligue	Chambery Savoie	33-29	Pays d'Aix UC
29/11/24 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	30-27	Chambery Savoie
22/03/24 France Starligue	Chambery Savoie	32-26	Pays d'Aix UC
02/12/23 France Starligue	Pays d'Aix UC	35-34	Chambery Savoie

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	6	6	0	0	198	162	12
2	Nantes	6	5	0	1	210	172	10
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	199	172	8
4	Limoges HB 87	6	4	0	2	201	179	8
5	USAM Nimes	6	4	0	2	192	194	8
6	Tremblay	6	3	1	2	197	191	7
7	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
8	Caen Handball	6	3	0	3	170	193	6
9	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
10	Chartres Metropole HB 28	6	2	1	3	177	199	5
11	Selestat Alsace HB	6	2	0	4	172	184	4
12	Saint Raphael	6	2	0	4	176	190	4
13	Chambery Savoie	6	1	2	3	190	198	4
14	Toulouse	6	2	0	4	163	171	4
15	Cesson Rennes	6	1	0	5	176	191	2
16	Dunkerque	6	1	0	5	150	169	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chambery Savoie	Pays d'Aix UC
Tremblay	31-44 L	30-31 L
Selestat Alsace HB	32-33 L	34-32 W
Istres Provence	30-28 W	31-35 L
USAM Nimes	31-31 D	33-35 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chambery Savoie

DWLWLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-35	D
03/10	Montpellier France Starligue	25-25	D
25/09	Tremblay France Starligue	31-44	L
18/09	Dunkerque France Starligue	38-29	W
11/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	32-33	L
04/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	29-32	L
06/06	Istres Provence France Starligue	30-28	W
02/06	PSG Handball France Starligue	28-29	L
28/05	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	37-35	W
07/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	31-31	D

Pays d'Aix UC

LWLWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	USM Saran France Starligue	39-30	W
04/10	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-35	L
25/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	32-25	W
19/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	28-29	L
12/09	Nantes France Starligue	28-38	L
05/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	34-32	W
06/06	Dijon France Starligue	38-32	W
02/06	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-35	L
29/05	Toulouse France Starligue	38-31	W
09/05	Tremblay France Starligue	30-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chambery Savoie vs Pays d'Aix UC?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Chambery Savoie 61% · Pays d'Aix UC 39%).

How many points are expected in Chambery Savoie vs Pays d'Aix UC?

The model estimates 64.3 total points (Chambery Savoie 31.9 · Pays d'Aix UC 32.4).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to over 61.5 points (65%).