Handball · France Starligue · 16/10, 20:30

Prediction: Cesson Rennes vs Selestat Alsace HB

Team pages: Cesson Rennes · Selestat Alsace HB

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.5Total

Cesson Rennes30.6

Selestat Alsace HB30.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

63% 37%

Cesson Rennes Selestat Alsace HB

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Cesson Rennes 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLL

Selestat Alsace HB 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Cesson Rennes 4–2 Selestat Alsace HB (6 last)

Cesson Rennes31-37Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB28-34Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes28-29Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB22-23Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes25-24Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB24-32Cesson Rennes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cesson Rennes 1450 · Selestat Alsace HB 1478

	Cesson Rennes	Selestat Alsace HB
Our model	56%	44%
Market	61%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 61.5 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.5Cesson Rennes 30.6 · Selestat Alsace HB 30.9

Match keys

H2H favours Cesson Rennes: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Cesson Rennes	Selestat Alsace HB
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.5 / 33	29.4 / 30.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 31.4	28 / 30
Est. result	31	31

Est. total61.5

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.55

X8.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.80

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 1.25 · Est. total: 61.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:24 +52’	1.55	8.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesson Rennes 4–0–2 Selestat Alsace HB

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	31-37	Selestat Alsace HB
12/09/25 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	28-34	Cesson Rennes
09/02/23 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	28-29	Selestat Alsace HB
07/10/22 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	22-23	Cesson Rennes
28/02/20 France Proligue	Cesson Rennes	25-24	Selestat Alsace HB
13/12/19 France Proligue	Selestat Alsace HB	24-32	Cesson Rennes

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	6	6	0	0	198	162	12
2	Nantes	6	5	0	1	210	172	10
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	199	172	8
4	Limoges HB 87	6	4	0	2	201	179	8
5	USAM Nimes	6	4	0	2	192	194	8
6	Tremblay	6	3	1	2	197	191	7
7	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
8	Caen Handball	6	3	0	3	170	193	6
9	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
10	Chartres Metropole HB 28	6	2	1	3	177	199	5
11	Selestat Alsace HB	6	2	0	4	172	184	4
12	Saint Raphael	6	2	0	4	176	190	4
13	Chambery Savoie	6	1	2	3	190	198	4
14	Toulouse	6	2	0	4	163	171	4
15	Cesson Rennes	6	1	0	5	176	191	2
16	Dunkerque	6	1	0	5	150	169	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cesson Rennes	Selestat Alsace HB
Pays d'Aix UC	29-28 W	32-34 L
PSG Handball	24-30 L	23-34 L
Toulouse	28-31 L	25-24 W
Montpellier	34-36 L	30-38 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cesson Rennes (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cesson Rennes

LLLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Saint Raphael France Starligue	34-37	L
03/10	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	29-31	L
25/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	28-31	L
19/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-28	W
12/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	24-30	L
04/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Toulouse France Starligue	28-31	L
03/06	Nantes France Starligue	26-35	L
27/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	31-37	L
08/05	Montpellier France Starligue	34-36	L

Selestat Alsace HB

LWWDLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Dunkerque France Starligue	21-23	L
02/10	Tremblay France Starligue	31-33	L
25/09	Montpellier France Starligue	30-38	L
17/09	Toulouse France Starligue	25-24	W
11/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	33-32	W
05/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Dijon France Starligue	32-27	W
27/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	37-31	W
10/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	23-34	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cesson Rennes vs Selestat Alsace HB?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Cesson Rennes 63% · Selestat Alsace HB 37%).

How many points are expected in Cesson Rennes vs Selestat Alsace HB?

The model estimates 61.5 total points (Cesson Rennes 30.6 · Selestat Alsace HB 30.9).