Handball · France Starligue · 17/10, 20:00

Prediction: Dunkerque vs Chartres Metropole HB 28

Team pages: Dunkerque · Chartres Metropole HB 28

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.6Total

Dunkerque29.2

Chartres Metropole HB 2829.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

61% 39%

Dunkerque Chartres Metropole HB 28

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Dunkerque 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLLLLW

Chartres Metropole HB 28 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWLWLD

Head-to-head

Dunkerque 3–3 Chartres Metropole HB 28 (6 last)

Dunkerque25-24Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2824-25Dunkerque
Chartres Metropole HB 2830-28Dunkerque
Dunkerque24-32Chartres Metropole HB 28
Chartres Metropole HB 2829-26Dunkerque
Dunkerque32-28Chartres Metropole HB 28

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunkerque 1482 · Chartres Metropole HB 28 1512

	Dunkerque	Chartres Metropole HB 28
Our model	56%	44%
Market	57%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 58.6 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.6Dunkerque 29.2 · Chartres Metropole HB 28 29.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dunkerque	Chartres Metropole HB 28
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.4 / 29.4	30.5 / 34.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.2 / 28.6	31 / 31.6
Est. result	29	29

Est. total58.6

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

X8.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 60.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:09 +8’	1.65	8.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunkerque 3–0–3 Chartres Metropole HB 28

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 France Starligue	Dunkerque	25-24	Chartres Metropole HB 28
10/10/25 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	24-25	Dunkerque
20/04/25 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	30-28	Dunkerque
31/10/24 France Starligue	Dunkerque	24-32	Chartres Metropole HB 28
16/02/24 France Starligue	Chartres Metropole HB 28	29-26	Dunkerque
08/12/23 France Starligue	Dunkerque	32-28	Chartres Metropole HB 28

Standings · France Starligue

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	6	6	0	0	198	162	12
2	Nantes	6	5	0	1	210	172	10
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	199	172	8
4	Limoges HB 87	6	4	0	2	201	179	8
5	USAM Nimes	6	4	0	2	192	194	8
6	Tremblay	6	3	1	2	197	191	7
7	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
8	Caen Handball	6	3	0	3	170	193	6
9	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
10	Chartres Metropole HB 28	6	2	1	3	177	199	5
11	Selestat Alsace HB	6	2	0	4	172	184	4
12	Saint Raphael	6	2	0	4	176	190	4
13	Chambery Savoie	6	1	2	3	190	198	4
14	Toulouse	6	2	0	4	163	171	4
15	Cesson Rennes	6	1	0	5	176	191	2
16	Dunkerque	6	1	0	5	150	169	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunkerque	Chartres Metropole HB 28
USAM Nimes	25-27 L	33-31 W
Chambery Savoie	29-38 L	35-35 D
Saint Raphael	25-26 L	30-37 L
Limoges HB 87	32-35 L	30-39 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunkerque

WDLDLLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	23-21	W
03/10	Nantes France Starligue	24-31	L
25/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	25-27	L
18/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-38	L
11/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	25-26	L
06/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	24-26	L
06/06	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	32-35	L
29/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	31-31	D
07/05	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-29	W

Chartres Metropole HB 28

LDWLLWLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	35-35	D
04/10	Toulouse France Starligue	28-30	L
25/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-28	W
20/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	26-35	L
11/09	Tremblay France Starligue	35-30	W
04/09	Montpellier France Starligue	22-41	L
06/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	30-37	L
02/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-31	W
26/05	Tremblay France Starligue	35-35	D
08/05	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	30-39	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunkerque vs Chartres Metropole HB 28?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Dunkerque 61% · Chartres Metropole HB 28 39%).

How many points are expected in Dunkerque vs Chartres Metropole HB 28?

The model estimates 58.6 total points (Dunkerque 29.2 · Chartres Metropole HB 28 29.3).