Handball · France Starligue · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Montpellier vs Limoges HB 87

Team pages: Montpellier · Limoges HB 87

Prediction summary

Estimated points

64.4Total

Montpellier32.1

Limoges HB 8732.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

66% 34%

Montpellier Limoges HB 87

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Montpellier 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Limoges HB 87 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Montpellier 5–1 Limoges HB 87 (6 last)

Limoges HB 8731-30Montpellier
Montpellier38-32Limoges HB 87
Limoges HB 8725-31Montpellier
Limoges HB 8727-37Montpellier
Montpellier32-26Limoges HB 87
Montpellier36-34Limoges HB 87

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montpellier 1510 · Limoges HB 87 1571

	Montpellier	Limoges HB 87
Our model	51%	49%
Market	68%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 64.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +2.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points64.4Montpellier 32.1 · Limoges HB 87 32.3

Match keys

H2H favours Montpellier: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Montpellier	Limoges HB 87
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.3 / 30.2	34.5 / 31.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 30	33 / 29.6
Est. result	32	32

Est. total64.4

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

X9.50

24.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.78

2 (+2.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 3.45 · Est. total: 64.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.37▲	Bet365 1.37
X	12.00 → 9.50▼	Bet365 9.50
2	7.50 → 4.25▼	Bet365 4.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:17 +1’	1.18	12.00	7.50
10:11 +7’	1.37▲	9.50▼	4.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 5–0–1 Limoges HB 87

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/02/26 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	31-30	Montpellier
27/09/25 France Starligue	Montpellier	38-32	Limoges HB 87
08/04/25 France Cup	Limoges HB 87	25-31	Montpellier
07/03/25 France Starligue	Limoges HB 87	27-37	Montpellier
21/09/24 France Starligue	Montpellier	32-26	Limoges HB 87
10/03/24 France Starligue	Montpellier	36-34	Limoges HB 87

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	6	6	0	0	198	162	12
2	Nantes	6	5	0	1	210	172	10
3	Montpellier	6	3	2	1	199	172	8
4	Limoges HB 87	6	4	0	2	201	179	8
5	USAM Nimes	6	4	0	2	192	194	8
6	Tremblay	6	3	1	2	197	191	7
7	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
8	Caen Handball	6	3	0	3	170	193	6
9	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
10	Chartres Metropole HB 28	6	2	1	3	177	199	5
11	Selestat Alsace HB	6	2	0	4	172	184	4
12	Saint Raphael	6	2	0	4	176	190	4
13	Chambery Savoie	6	1	2	3	190	198	4
14	Toulouse	6	2	0	4	163	171	4
15	Cesson Rennes	6	1	0	5	176	191	2
16	Dunkerque	6	1	0	5	150	169	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montpellier	Limoges HB 87
Chambery Savoie	25-25 D	35-37 L
Nantes	31-36 L	35-41 L
USAM Nimes	38-33 W	35-31 W
Chartres Metropole HB 28	41-22 W	39-30 W
Saint Raphael	35-38 L	36-31 W
Cesson Rennes	36-34 W	31-29 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montpellier

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Tremblay France Starligue	26-26	D
03/10	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	25-25	D
25/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	38-30	W
20/09	Nantes France Starligue	31-36	L
13/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	38-33	W
04/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	41-22	W
06/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-30	W
03/06	Toulouse France Starligue	29-28	W
26/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	35-38	L
08/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	36-34	W

Limoges HB 87

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	USAM Nimes France Starligue	35-31	W
03/10	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-29	W
26/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	33-35	L
18/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	38-23	W
10/09	USM Saran France Starligue	28-30	L
04/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-31	W
06/06	Nantes France Starligue	35-41	L
02/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	35-32	W
28/05	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	35-37	L
08/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	39-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Limoges HB 87?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Montpellier 66% · Limoges HB 87 34%).

How many points are expected in Montpellier vs Limoges HB 87?

The model estimates 64.4 total points (Montpellier 32.1 · Limoges HB 87 32.3).