Handball · France Starligue · 10/10, 19:00

Prediction: PSG Handball vs Toulouse

Team pages: PSG Handball · Toulouse

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.9Total

PSG Handball33

Toulouse27.9

1X2

86% 14%

PSG Handball Toulouse

Recent form · 10 last

PSG Handball 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Toulouse 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

PSG Handball 5–1–0 Toulouse (6 last)

PSG Handball39-21Toulouse
Toulouse33-36PSG Handball
PSG Handball36-25Toulouse
Toulouse28-31PSG Handball
PSG Handball29-29Toulouse
Toulouse31-34PSG Handball

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PSG Handball 1645 · Toulouse 1508

	PSG Handball	Toulouse
Our model	77%	23%
Market	88%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 60.9 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.9PSG Handball 33 · Toulouse 27.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSG Handball (rating 1645 vs 1508).
PSG Handball is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours PSG Handball: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	PSG Handball	Toulouse
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34 / 27.2	29.7 / 30.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.6 / 27.8	28 / 28.2
Est. result	33	28

Est. total60.9

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

X18.00

214.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.78

2 (+6.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.90

Diff.: 1.7 · Est. total: 60.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
X	18.00 → 18.00	Bet365 18.00
2	13.00 → 14.00▲	Bet365 14.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
10:46 +10’	1.07	18.00	13.00
16:19 +6’	1.07	18.00	14.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PSG Handball 5–1–0 Toulouse

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 France Starligue	PSG Handball	39-21	Toulouse
08/11/25 France Starligue	Toulouse	33-36	PSG Handball
13/04/25 France Starligue	PSG Handball	36-25	Toulouse
08/12/24 France Starligue	Toulouse	28-31	PSG Handball
03/03/24 France Starligue	PSG Handball	29-29	Toulouse
03/12/23 France Starligue	Toulouse	31-34	PSG Handball

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	5	5	0	0	168	139	10
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172	141	8
3	USAM Nimes	5	4	0	1	161	159	8
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173	146	7
5	Limoges HB 87	5	3	0	2	166	148	6
6	USM Saran	5	3	0	2	141	143	6
7	Tremblay	5	3	0	2	171	165	6
8	Caen Handball	5	3	0	2	139	155	6
9	Pays d'Aix UC	5	2	0	3	155	159	4
10	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140	141	4
11	Selestat Alsace HB	5	2	0	3	151	161	4
12	Chartres Metropole HB 28	5	2	0	3	142	164	4
13	Chambery Savoie	5	1	1	3	155	163	3
14	Cesson Rennes	5	1	0	4	142	154	2
15	Saint Raphael	5	1	0	4	139	156	2
16	Dunkerque	5	0	0	5	127	148	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PSG Handball	Toulouse
USM Saran	36-27 W	25-27 L
Chartres Metropole HB 28	35-26 W	30-28 W
Cesson Rennes	30-24 W	31-28 W
Tremblay	35-31 W	40-35 W
Nantes	34-31 W	30-29 W
Selestat Alsace HB	34-23 W	24-25 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: PSG Handball (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PSG Handball

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/10	USM Saran France Starligue	36-27	W
26/09	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	35-33	W
20/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-26	W
12/09	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	30-24	W
04/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	32-29	W
06/06	Tremblay France Starligue	35-31	W
02/06	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-28	W
27/05	Nantes France Starligue	34-31	W
10/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	34-23	W
03/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	40-20	W

Toulouse

WLLLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	30-28	W
27/09	Nantes France Starligue	30-29	W
17/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	24-25	L
11/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	31-32	L
05/09	USM Saran France Starligue	25-27	L
06/06	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	31-28	W
03/06	Montpellier France Starligue	28-29	L
29/05	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	31-38	L
08/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	27-36	L
01/05	Tremblay France Starligue	40-35	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PSG Handball vs Toulouse?

Our model gives 86% to PSG Handball.

How many points are expected in PSG Handball vs Toulouse?

The model estimates 60.9 total points (PSG Handball 33 · Toulouse 27.9).