Handball · France Starligue · 11/10, 17:00

Prediction: Selestat Alsace HB vs Dunkerque

Team pages: Selestat Alsace HB · Dunkerque

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

Selestat Alsace HB30

Dunkerque28.5

1X2

63% 37%

Selestat Alsace HB Dunkerque

Recent form · 10 last

Selestat Alsace HB 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLWWLL

Dunkerque 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Selestat Alsace HB 1–2–3 Dunkerque (6 last)

Selestat Alsace HB30-30Dunkerque
Dunkerque26-27Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB24-27Dunkerque
Dunkerque29-28Selestat Alsace HB
Selestat Alsace HB28-29Dunkerque
Selestat Alsace HB29-29Dunkerque

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Selestat Alsace HB 1504 · Dunkerque 1449

	Selestat Alsace HB	Dunkerque
Our model	67%	33%
Market	53%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4Selestat Alsace HB 30 · Dunkerque 28.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Selestat Alsace HB (rating 1504 vs 1449).
H2H favours Dunkerque: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Selestat Alsace HB	Dunkerque
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 31.1	27.3 / 30.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 32.2	25.4 / 29.6
Est. result	30	29

Est. total58.4

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.80

X8.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · Est. total: 59.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
10:47 +10’	1.80	8.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Selestat Alsace HB 1–2–3 Dunkerque

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	30-30	Dunkerque
17/10/25 France Starligue	Dunkerque	26-27	Selestat Alsace HB
13/12/23 France Cup	Selestat Alsace HB	24-27	Dunkerque
16/03/23 France Starligue	Dunkerque	29-28	Selestat Alsace HB
09/09/22 France Starligue	Selestat Alsace HB	28-29	Dunkerque
08/02/22 France Cup	Selestat Alsace HB	29-29	Dunkerque

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	5	5	0	0	168	139	10
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172	141	8
3	USAM Nimes	5	4	0	1	161	159	8
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173	146	7
5	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
6	Limoges HB 87	5	3	0	2	166	148	6
7	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
8	Tremblay	5	3	0	2	171	165	6
9	Caen Handball	5	3	0	2	139	155	6
10	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140	141	4
11	Selestat Alsace HB	5	2	0	3	151	161	4
12	Chartres Metropole HB 28	5	2	0	3	142	164	4
13	Chambery Savoie	5	1	1	3	155	163	3
14	Cesson Rennes	5	1	0	4	142	154	2
15	Saint Raphael	5	1	0	4	139	156	2
16	Dunkerque	5	0	0	5	127	148	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Selestat Alsace HB	Dunkerque
Chambery Savoie	33-32 W	29-38 L
USAM Nimes	33-28 W	25-27 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Selestat Alsace HB (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Selestat Alsace HB

WLWWDLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Tremblay France Starligue	31-33	L
25/09	Montpellier France Starligue	30-38	L
17/09	Toulouse France Starligue	25-24	W
11/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	33-32	W
05/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Dunkerque France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Dijon France Starligue	32-27	W
27/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	37-31	W
10/05	PSG Handball France Starligue	23-34	L
01/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	33-28	W

Dunkerque

LWDLDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Nantes France Starligue	24-31	L
25/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	25-27	L
18/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	29-38	L
11/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	25-26	L
06/09	Caen Handball France Starligue	24-26	L
06/06	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	30-30	D
02/06	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	32-35	L
29/05	USAM Nimes France Starligue	31-31	D
07/05	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-29	W
01/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	22-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Selestat Alsace HB vs Dunkerque?

Our model gives 63% to Selestat Alsace HB.

How many points are expected in Selestat Alsace HB vs Dunkerque?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (Selestat Alsace HB 30 · Dunkerque 28.5).