Handball · France Starligue · 11/10, 16:00

Prediction: Tremblay vs Montpellier

Team pages: Tremblay · Montpellier

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.3Total

Tremblay32.2

Montpellier34.1

1X2

41% 59%

Tremblay Montpellier

Recent form · 10 last

Tremblay 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLWWW

Montpellier 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWLWD

Head-to-head

Tremblay 1–5 Montpellier (6 last)

Tremblay36-35Montpellier
Montpellier36-31Tremblay
Montpellier29-25Tremblay
Tremblay31-34Montpellier
Montpellier34-22Tremblay
Tremblay30-31Montpellier

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tremblay 1529 · Montpellier 1527

	Tremblay	Montpellier
Our model	60%	40%
Market	25%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 66.3 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · +2.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.3Tremblay 32.2 · Montpellier 34.1

Match keys

H2H favours Montpellier: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tremblay	Montpellier
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.9 / 34.9	34.5 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.2 / 33	34.6 / 29.2
Est. result	32	34

Est. total66.3

Line O/U63.5

Diff.2.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.80

X9.00

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.88

2 (-2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.90

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 3.35 · Est. total: 66.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
X	10.00 → 9.00▼	Bet365 9.00
2	1.32 → 1.45▲	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:41 +16’	5.00	10.00	1.32
16:29 +1’	3.80▼	9.00▼	1.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tremblay 1–0–5 Montpellier

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 France Starligue	Tremblay	36-35	Montpellier
28/11/25 France Starligue	Montpellier	36-31	Tremblay
28/03/25 France Starligue	Montpellier	29-25	Tremblay
13/09/24 France Starligue	Tremblay	31-34	Montpellier
24/04/21 France Starligue	Montpellier	34-22	Tremblay
21/11/20 France Starligue	Tremblay	30-31	Montpellier

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	5	5	0	0	168	139	10
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172	141	8
3	USAM Nimes	5	4	0	1	161	159	8
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173	146	7
5	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
6	Limoges HB 87	5	3	0	2	166	148	6
7	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
8	Tremblay	5	3	0	2	171	165	6
9	Caen Handball	5	3	0	2	139	155	6
10	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140	141	4
11	Selestat Alsace HB	5	2	0	3	151	161	4
12	Chartres Metropole HB 28	5	2	0	3	142	164	4
13	Chambery Savoie	5	1	1	3	155	163	3
14	Cesson Rennes	5	1	0	4	142	154	2
15	Saint Raphael	5	1	0	4	139	156	2
16	Dunkerque	5	0	0	5	127	148	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tremblay	Montpellier
Selestat Alsace HB	33-31 W	38-30 W
Chambery Savoie	44-31 W	25-25 D
Saint Raphael	36-30 W	35-38 L
Chartres Metropole HB 28	30-35 L	41-22 W
Nantes	28-38 L	31-36 L
Toulouse	35-40 L	29-28 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Montpellier (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tremblay

LWDLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	33-31	W
25/09	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	44-31	W
18/09	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-30	W
11/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	30-35	L
05/09	Nantes France Starligue	28-38	L
06/06	PSG Handball France Starligue	31-35	L
03/06	Saint Raphael France Starligue	36-44	L
26/05	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	35-35	D
09/05	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	31-30	W
01/05	Toulouse France Starligue	35-40	L

Montpellier

WWLWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Chambery Savoie France Starligue	25-25	D
25/09	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	38-30	W
20/09	Nantes France Starligue	31-36	L
13/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	38-33	W
04/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	41-22	W
06/06	USAM Nimes France Starligue	34-30	W
03/06	Toulouse France Starligue	29-28	W
26/05	Saint Raphael France Starligue	35-38	L
08/05	Cesson Rennes France Starligue	36-34	W
01/05	Dijon France Starligue	38-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tremblay vs Montpellier?

Our model gives 59% to Montpellier.

How many points are expected in Tremblay vs Montpellier?

The model estimates 66.3 total points (Tremblay 32.2 · Montpellier 34.1).