Handball · France Starligue · 09/10, 19:30

Prediction: Saint Raphael vs Cesson Rennes

Team pages: Saint Raphael · Cesson Rennes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.5Total

Saint Raphael32.2

Cesson Rennes30.3

1X2

65% 35%

Saint Raphael Cesson Rennes

Recent form · 10 last

Saint Raphael 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLLL

Cesson Rennes 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

Saint Raphael 5–1–0 Cesson Rennes (6 last)

Saint Raphael30-28Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes30-34Saint Raphael
Cesson Rennes29-35Saint Raphael
Cesson Rennes29-39Saint Raphael
Saint Raphael27-24Cesson Rennes
Cesson Rennes26-26Saint Raphael

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saint Raphael 1501 · Cesson Rennes 1463

	Saint Raphael	Cesson Rennes
Our model	65%	35%
Market	57%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 62.5 points · Bet365 line 62.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.5Saint Raphael 32.2 · Cesson Rennes 30.3

Match keys

Saint Raphael is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Saint Raphael: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saint Raphael	Cesson Rennes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.6 / 30.6	29.2 / 32.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 31.2	28.4 / 30.8
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.5

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.65

X8.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · Est. total: 62.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65
X	9.00 → 8.00▼	Bet365 8.00
2	4.00 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:44 +10’	1.42	9.00	4.00
13:08 +21’	1.75▲	8.00▼	2.70▼
12:51 +23’	1.65▼	8.00	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Saint Raphael 5–1–0 Cesson Rennes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 France Starligue	Saint Raphael	30-28	Cesson Rennes
09/09/25 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	30-34	Saint Raphael
15/08/25 Club Friendlies	Cesson Rennes	29-35	Saint Raphael
22/02/25 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	29-39	Saint Raphael
04/10/24 France Starligue	Saint Raphael	27-24	Cesson Rennes
30/03/24 France Starligue	Cesson Rennes	26-26	Saint Raphael

Standings · France Starligue

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	PSG Handball	5	5	0	0	168	139	10
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172	141	8
3	USAM Nimes	5	4	0	1	161	159	8
4	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	173	146	7
5	Pays d'Aix UC	6	3	0	3	194	189	6
6	Limoges HB 87	5	3	0	2	166	148	6
7	USM Saran	6	3	0	3	171	182	6
8	Tremblay	5	3	0	2	171	165	6
9	Caen Handball	5	3	0	2	139	155	6
10	Toulouse	5	2	0	3	140	141	4
11	Selestat Alsace HB	5	2	0	3	151	161	4
12	Chartres Metropole HB 28	5	2	0	3	142	164	4
13	Chambery Savoie	5	1	1	3	155	163	3
14	Cesson Rennes	5	1	0	4	142	154	2
15	Saint Raphael	5	1	0	4	139	156	2
16	Dunkerque	5	0	0	5	127	148	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saint Raphael	Cesson Rennes
Limoges HB 87	31-36 L	29-31 L
Chartres Metropole HB 28	37-30 W	28-31 L
Montpellier	38-35 W	34-36 L
Toulouse	36-27 W	28-31 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Saint Raphael (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saint Raphael

WWWWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	Caen Handball France Starligue	30-33	L
25/09	USM Saran France Starligue	22-26	L
18/09	Tremblay France Starligue	30-36	L
11/09	Dunkerque France Starligue	26-25	W
04/09	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	31-36	L
06/06	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	37-30	W
03/06	Tremblay France Starligue	44-36	W
26/05	Montpellier France Starligue	38-35	W
08/05	Toulouse France Starligue	36-27	W
01/05	Dunkerque France Starligue	32-22	W

Cesson Rennes

WLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Limoges HB 87 France Starligue	29-31	L
25/09	Chartres Metropole HB 28 France Starligue	28-31	L
19/09	Pays d'Aix UC France Starligue	29-28	W
12/09	PSG Handball France Starligue	24-30	L
04/09	USAM Nimes France Starligue	32-34	L
06/06	Toulouse France Starligue	28-31	L
03/06	Nantes France Starligue	26-35	L
27/05	Selestat Alsace HB France Starligue	31-37	L
08/05	Montpellier France Starligue	34-36	L
30/04	Istres Provence France Starligue	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saint Raphael vs Cesson Rennes?

Our model gives 65% to Saint Raphael.

How many points are expected in Saint Raphael vs Cesson Rennes?

The model estimates 62.5 total points (Saint Raphael 32.2 · Cesson Rennes 30.3).