Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 03/09, 19:00

Prediction: TBV Lemgo vs HSG Wetzlar

Team pages: TBV Lemgo

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.4Total

TBV Lemgo31.2

HSG Wetzlar30.2

1X2

80% 20%

TBV Lemgo HSG Wetzlar

Recent form · 10 last

TBV Lemgo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDLLWWWL

HSG Wetzlar 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWWLWLLL

Head-to-head

TBV Lemgo 6–0 HSG Wetzlar (6 last)

TBV Lemgo28-25HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar21-26TBV Lemgo
HSG Wetzlar20-26TBV Lemgo
TBV Lemgo28-25HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar24-31TBV Lemgo
TBV Lemgo31-23HSG Wetzlar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TBV Lemgo 1507 · HSG Wetzlar 1489

	TBV Lemgo	HSG Wetzlar
Our model	62%	38%
Market	87%	7%

Estimated total (ours) 61.4 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +3.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.4TBV Lemgo 31.2 · HSG Wetzlar 30.2

Match keys

TBV Lemgo is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours TBV Lemgo: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TBV Lemgo	HSG Wetzlar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.8 / 32.1	30.2 / 31.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 33.2	30.8 / 31.2
Est. result	31	30

Est. total61.4

Line O/U57.5

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.08

X16.00

213.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.88

2 (+6.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.88

Under 57.51.88

Diff.: 4.75 · Est. total: 62.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:45 +2’	1.08	16.00	13.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TBV Lemgo 6–0–0 HSG Wetzlar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	28-25	HSG Wetzlar
14/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	21-26	TBV Lemgo
28/05/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	20-26	TBV Lemgo
19/09/24 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	28-25	HSG Wetzlar
17/08/24 Club Friendlies	HSG Wetzlar	24-31	TBV Lemgo
07/03/24 Germany Bundesliga	TBV Lemgo	31-23	HSG Wetzlar

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	1	1	0	35	27	2
2	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	1	1	0	30	26	2
3	Frisch Auf Goppingen	1	1	0	32	30	2
3	Fuchse Berlin	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SC Magdeburg	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SG BBM Bietigheim	1	1	0	35	33	2
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	1	1	0	33	31	2
8	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	1	1	0	32	31	2
8	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	1	1	0	30	29	2
10	Bergischer HC	1	0	1	29	30	0
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	1	0	1	31	32	0
12	HC Erlangen	1	0	1	30	32	0
12	HSG Wetzlar	1	0	1	33	35	0
12	MT Melsungen	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	ThSV Eisenach	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	Vfl Gummersbach	1	0	1	31	33	0
17	HSV Hamburg	1	0	1	26	30	0
18	TBV Lemgo	1	0	1	27	35	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TBV Lemgo	HSG Wetzlar
THW Kiel	27-35 L	33-25 W
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	32-32 D	31-31 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HSG Wetzlar (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TBV Lemgo

DLLDLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/08	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	27-35	L
07/06	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	34-31	W
03/06	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	30-28	W
22/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	38-34	W
09/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-38	L
01/05	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	28-32	L
26/04	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
12/04	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	33-34	L
04/04	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	26-27	L
29/03	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D

HSG Wetzlar

LDLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	33-35	L
07/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L
04/06	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
23/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
07/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L
02/05	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	33-25	W
26/04	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	33-29	W
11/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	24-32	L
02/04	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
28/03	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	27-41	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TBV Lemgo vs HSG Wetzlar?

Our model gives 80% to TBV Lemgo.

How many points are expected in TBV Lemgo vs HSG Wetzlar?

The model estimates 61.4 total points (TBV Lemgo 31.2 · HSG Wetzlar 30.2).