Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 13/09, 18:00

Prediction: MT Melsungen vs TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Team pages: MT Melsungen · TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.3Total

MT Melsungen30.3

TVB 1898 Stuttgart29

1X2

79% 21%

MT Melsungen TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Recent form · 10 last

MT Melsungen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLDLWD

TVB 1898 Stuttgart 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWWDL

Head-to-head

MT Melsungen 5–1 TVB 1898 Stuttgart (6 last)

MT Melsungen33-28TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart29-31MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen35-29TVB 1898 Stuttgart
TVB 1898 Stuttgart27-36MT Melsungen
TVB 1898 Stuttgart33-31MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen35-27TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MT Melsungen 1569 · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 1499

	MT Melsungen	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
Our model	69%	31%
Market	79%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 59.3 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.3MT Melsungen 30.3 · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 29

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MT Melsungen (rating 1569 vs 1499).
MT Melsungen is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours MT Melsungen: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MT Melsungen	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.7 / 31.2	29.2 / 29.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 30.6	30.4 / 29.2
Est. result	30	29

Est. total59.3

Line O/U60.5

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

X12.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.88

2 (+4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.88

Under 60.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 60.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:32 +20’	1.20	12.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MT Melsungen 5–0–1 TVB 1898 Stuttgart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	33-28	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
05/10/25 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	29-31	MT Melsungen
22/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	35-29	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
10/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	27-36	MT Melsungen
22/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	33-31	MT Melsungen
15/09/23 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	35-27	TVB 1898 Stuttgart

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	3	3	0	0	103	86	6
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	3	3	0	0	105	93	6
3	SC Magdeburg	3	3	0	0	100	93	6
4	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	3	2	1	0	90	87	5
5	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	3	2	0	1	96	84	4
6	TBV Lemgo	3	2	0	1	94	91	4
7	Fuchse Berlin	3	2	0	1	99	100	4
8	MT Melsungen	3	1	1	1	93	82	3
9	Vfl Gummersbach	3	1	1	1	93	90	3
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	97	97	3
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	3	1	0	2	84	89	2
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	3	1	0	2	81	93	2
13	SG BBM Bietigheim	3	1	0	2	92	105	2
14	HSV Hamburg	3	0	1	2	88	94	1
14	HSG Wetzlar	3	0	1	2	91	97	1
16	HC Erlangen	3	0	1	2	91	98	1
17	ThSV Eisenach	3	0	1	2	89	100	1
18	Bergischer HC	3	0	0	3	84	91	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MT Melsungen	TVB 1898 Stuttgart
Frisch Auf Goppingen	31-18 W	33-32 W
Fuchse Berlin	31-33 L	33-34 L
Rhein Neckar Lowen	22-30 L	26-32 L
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	30-40 L	37-33 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TVB 1898 Stuttgart (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MT Melsungen

WLLWWLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
02/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	31-18	W
27/08	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
04/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-39	L
21/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	33-27	W
09/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
01/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	22-30	L
24/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-40	L
10/04	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	32-28	W

TVB 1898 Stuttgart

DLLLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	33-34	L
02/09	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-34	D
28/08	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	30-29	W
07/06	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	22-17	W
03/06	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	33-32	W
24/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	37-33	W
07/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	26-32	L
03/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	26-31	L
26/04	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	26-30	L
12/04	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	25-25	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MT Melsungen vs TVB 1898 Stuttgart?

Our model gives 79% to MT Melsungen.

How many points are expected in MT Melsungen vs TVB 1898 Stuttgart?

The model estimates 59.3 total points (MT Melsungen 30.3 · TVB 1898 Stuttgart 29).