Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 13/09, 18:00

Prediction: Fuchse Berlin vs Vfl Gummersbach

Team pages: Fuchse Berlin · Vfl Gummersbach

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.7Total

Fuchse Berlin31.8

Vfl Gummersbach31.9

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

80% 20%

Fuchse Berlin Vfl Gummersbach

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fuchse Berlin 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWLW

Vfl Gummersbach 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLWLWD

Head-to-head

Fuchse Berlin 5–1 Vfl Gummersbach (6 last)

Fuchse Berlin28-26Vfl Gummersbach
Vfl Gummersbach34-29Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin45-35Vfl Gummersbach
Vfl Gummersbach22-29Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin29-26Vfl Gummersbach
Fuchse Berlin31-29Vfl Gummersbach

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fuchse Berlin 1586 · Vfl Gummersbach 1539

	Fuchse Berlin	Vfl Gummersbach
Our model	66%	34%
Market	83%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 63.7 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.7Fuchse Berlin 31.8 · Vfl Gummersbach 31.9

Match keys

H2H favours Fuchse Berlin: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fuchse Berlin	Vfl Gummersbach
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.9 / 32.1	30.6 / 28.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	36.2 / 33.2	31.2 / 31
Est. result	32	32

Est. total63.7

Line O/U64.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

X14.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 63.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	14.00 → 14.00	Bet365 14.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:39 +14’	1.14	14.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fuchse Berlin 5–0–1 Vfl Gummersbach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	28-26	Vfl Gummersbach
14/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	34-29	Fuchse Berlin
05/06/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	45-35	Vfl Gummersbach
26/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	Vfl Gummersbach	22-29	Fuchse Berlin
05/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	29-26	Vfl Gummersbach
04/02/24 Germany DHB Pokal	Fuchse Berlin	31-29	Vfl Gummersbach

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	3	3	0	0	103	86	6
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	3	3	0	0	105	93	6
3	SC Magdeburg	3	3	0	0	100	93	6
4	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	3	2	1	0	90	87	5
5	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	3	2	0	1	96	84	4
6	TBV Lemgo	3	2	0	1	94	91	4
7	Fuchse Berlin	3	2	0	1	99	100	4
8	MT Melsungen	3	1	1	1	93	82	3
9	Vfl Gummersbach	3	1	1	1	93	90	3
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	97	97	3
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	3	1	0	2	84	89	2
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	3	1	0	2	81	93	2
13	SG BBM Bietigheim	3	1	0	2	92	105	2
14	HSV Hamburg	3	0	1	2	88	94	1
14	HSG Wetzlar	3	0	1	2	91	97	1
16	HC Erlangen	3	0	1	2	91	98	1
17	ThSV Eisenach	3	0	1	2	89	100	1
18	Bergischer HC	3	0	0	3	84	91	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fuchse Berlin	Vfl Gummersbach
SC Magdeburg	32-36 L	31-33 L
MT Melsungen	33-31 W	31-31 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fuchse Berlin

WWWDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
03/09	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	32-36	L
27/08	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	43-38	W
04/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	39-28	W
29/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	41-38	W
21/05	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
10/05	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	35-28	W
23/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	28-26	W
12/04	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W

Vfl Gummersbach

WLDWWLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
05/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
02/09	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	31-26	W
30/08	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-27	W
03/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	35-38	L
23/05	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	32-22	W
10/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	26-22	W
30/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
23/04	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	26-28	L
16/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	37-31	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fuchse Berlin vs Vfl Gummersbach?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fuchse Berlin 80% · Vfl Gummersbach 20%).

How many points are expected in Fuchse Berlin vs Vfl Gummersbach?

The model estimates 63.7 total points (Fuchse Berlin 31.8 · Vfl Gummersbach 31.9).