Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 13/09, 15:00

Prediction: SC Magdeburg vs HSG Wetzlar

Team pages: SC Magdeburg · HSG Wetzlar

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63Total

SC Magdeburg33.4

HSG Wetzlar29.6

1X2

88% 12%

SC Magdeburg HSG Wetzlar

Recent form · 10 last

SC Magdeburg 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

HSG Wetzlar 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLLLD

Head-to-head

SC Magdeburg 6–0 HSG Wetzlar (6 last)

HSG Wetzlar30-31SC Magdeburg
SC Magdeburg33-20HSG Wetzlar
HSG Wetzlar29-32SC Magdeburg
SC Magdeburg35-28HSG Wetzlar
SC Magdeburg37-34HSG Wetzlar
SC Magdeburg39-31HSG Wetzlar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Magdeburg 1634 · HSG Wetzlar 1489

	SC Magdeburg	HSG Wetzlar
Our model	78%	22%
Market	91%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 63 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63SC Magdeburg 33.4 · HSG Wetzlar 29.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Magdeburg (rating 1634 vs 1489).
SC Magdeburg is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours SC Magdeburg: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SC Magdeburg	HSG Wetzlar
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.9 / 30.3	30.2 / 30.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.8 / 31.6	30.6 / 32.2
Est. result	33	30

Est. total63

Line O/U62.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.03

X22.00

220.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.88

2 (+8.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 62.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Bet365 1.03
X	22.00 → 22.00	Bet365 22.00
2	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:13 +40’	1.03	22.00	20.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Magdeburg 6–0–0 HSG Wetzlar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	30-31	SC Magdeburg
22/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	33-20	HSG Wetzlar
27/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSG Wetzlar	29-32	SC Magdeburg
07/09/24 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	35-28	HSG Wetzlar
02/06/24 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	37-34	HSG Wetzlar
13/12/23 Germany DHB Pokal	SC Magdeburg	39-31	HSG Wetzlar

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	3	3	0	0	103	86	6
2	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	3	3	0	0	105	93	6
3	SC Magdeburg	3	3	0	0	100	93	6
4	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	3	2	1	0	90	87	5
5	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	3	2	0	1	96	84	4
6	TBV Lemgo	3	2	0	1	94	91	4
7	Fuchse Berlin	3	2	0	1	99	100	4
8	MT Melsungen	3	1	1	1	93	82	3
9	Vfl Gummersbach	3	1	1	1	93	90	3
10	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	3	1	1	1	97	97	3
11	Rhein Neckar Lowen	3	1	0	2	84	89	2
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	3	1	0	2	81	93	2
13	SG BBM Bietigheim	3	1	0	2	92	105	2
14	HSV Hamburg	3	0	1	2	88	94	1
14	HSG Wetzlar	3	0	1	2	91	97	1
16	HC Erlangen	3	0	1	2	91	98	1
17	ThSV Eisenach	3	0	1	2	89	100	1
18	Bergischer HC	3	0	0	3	84	91	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Magdeburg	HSG Wetzlar
Vfl Gummersbach	33-31 W	24-32 L
HSV Hamburg	41-28 W	32-33 L
HC Erlangen	35-31 W	29-26 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Magdeburg (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Magdeburg

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
03/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	36-32	W
30/08	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
03/06	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	38-35	W
24/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	33-30	W
21/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
10/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	41-28	W
26/04	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	30-26	W
12/04	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	35-31	W

HSG Wetzlar

LWWLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/09	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	27-31	L
30/08	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	33-35	L
07/06	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L
04/06	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
23/05	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
07/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	30-31	L
02/05	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	33-25	W
26/04	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	33-29	W
11/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	24-32	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Magdeburg vs HSG Wetzlar?

Our model gives 88% to SC Magdeburg.

How many points are expected in SC Magdeburg vs HSG Wetzlar?

The model estimates 63 total points (SC Magdeburg 33.4 · HSG Wetzlar 29.6).