Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 05/09, 20:00
Prediction: Bergischer HC vs Rhein Neckar Lowen
Team pages: Bergischer HC · Rhein Neckar Lowen
Prediction summary
Estimated points
58.7Total
Bergischer HC28.5
Rhein Neckar Lowen30.2
1X2
Bergischer HC
Rhein Neckar Lowen
Recent form · 10 last
Bergischer HC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Rhein Neckar Lowen
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bergischer HC
1–5
Rhein Neckar Lowen
(6 last)
- Rhein Neckar Lowen28-25Bergischer HC
- Bergischer HC30-27Rhein Neckar Lowen
- Rhein Neckar Lowen35-29Bergischer HC
- Bergischer HC29-31Rhein Neckar Lowen
- Rhein Neckar Lowen39-29Bergischer HC
- Bergischer HC26-27Rhein Neckar Lowen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bergischer HC 1466 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 1506
| Bergischer HC | Rhein Neckar Lowen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 21% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
58.7 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points58.7Bergischer HC 28.5 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 30.2
Match keys
- H2H favours Rhein Neckar Lowen: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bergischer HC | Rhein Neckar Lowen | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 28.4 / 30.4 | 29.5 / 29.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 28.4 / 30 | 28.6 / 30.4 |
| Est. result | 29 | 30 |
Est. total58.7
Line O/U58.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bergischer HC 1–0–5 Rhein Neckar Lowen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Germany Bundesliga | Rhein Neckar Lowen | 28-25 | Bergischer HC |
| 16/11/25 Germany Bundesliga | Bergischer HC | 30-27 | Rhein Neckar Lowen |
| 12/04/24 Germany Bundesliga | Rhein Neckar Lowen | 35-29 | Bergischer HC |
| 23/09/23 Germany Bundesliga | Bergischer HC | 29-31 | Rhein Neckar Lowen |
| 01/06/23 Germany Bundesliga | Rhein Neckar Lowen | 39-29 | Bergischer HC |
| 29/09/22 Germany Bundesliga | Bergischer HC | 26-27 | Rhein Neckar Lowen |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 60 | 4 |
| 2 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 60 | 59 | 3 |
| 2 | TVB 1898 Stuttgart | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 64 | 63 | 3 |
| 4 | THW Kiel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 27 | 2 |
| 5 | HBW Balingen-Weilstetten | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 26 | 2 |
| 6 | Fuchse Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 31 | 2 |
| 6 | SC Magdeburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 31 | 2 |
| 6 | SG BBM Bietigheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 33 | 2 |
| 9 | MT Melsungen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 51 | 2 |
| 10 | Vfl Gummersbach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 59 | 2 |
| 11 | Frisch Auf Goppingen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 61 | 2 |
| 12 | HC Erlangen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 58 | 60 | 1 |
| 13 | HSV Hamburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 60 | 64 | 1 |
| 14 | HSG Wetzlar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 | ThSV Eisenach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 | Bergischer HC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 58 | 64 | 0 |
| 16 | Rhein Neckar Lowen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 57 | 63 | 0 |
| 18 | TBV Lemgo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 35 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bergischer HC | Rhein Neckar Lowen |
|---|---|---|
| SG Flensburg-Handewitt | 29-34 L | 33-36 L |
| TVB 1898 Stuttgart | 29-30 L | 32-26 W |
| Frisch Auf Goppingen | 29-28 W | 30-32 L |
| HC Erlangen | 32-26 W | 27-29 L |
| TSV Hannover Burgdorf | 30-29 W | 31-32 L |
| Vfl Gummersbach | 30-39 L | 26-31 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bergischer HC
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga |
29-34 | L |
| 28/08 | TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga |
29-30 | L |
| 07/06 | Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga |
29-28 | W |
| 29/05 | HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga |
32-26 | W |
| 24/05 | THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga |
23-32 | L |
| 08/05 | TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga |
28-28 | D |
| 02/05 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga |
30-29 | W |
| 26/04 | HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga |
29-33 | L |
| 12/04 | TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga |
25-25 | D |
| 02/04 | Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga |
30-39 | L |
Rhein Neckar Lowen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga |
26-31 | L |
| 30/08 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga |
31-32 | L |
| 07/06 | Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga |
27-28 | L |
| 03/06 | TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga |
29-28 | W |
| 24/05 | SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga |
30-33 | L |
| 07/05 | TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga |
32-26 | W |
| 01/05 | MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga |
30-22 | W |
| 23/04 | Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga |
30-32 | L |
| 11/04 | SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga |
33-36 | L |
| 05/04 | HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga |
27-29 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bergischer HC vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?
Our model gives 64% to Rhein Neckar Lowen.
How many points are expected in Bergischer HC vs Rhein Neckar Lowen?
The model estimates 58.7 total points (Bergischer HC 28.5 · Rhein Neckar Lowen 30.2).