Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 20/09, 18:00

Prediction: MT Melsungen vs SC Magdeburg

Team pages: MT Melsungen · SC Magdeburg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

MT Melsungen29.2

SC Magdeburg31.9

1X2

33% 67%

MT Melsungen SC Magdeburg

Recent form · 10 last

MT Melsungen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDLWDW

SC Magdeburg 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

MT Melsungen 1–5 SC Magdeburg (6 last)

MT Melsungen23-34SC Magdeburg
SC Magdeburg31-27MT Melsungen
SC Magdeburg29-28MT Melsungen
MT Melsungen31-23SC Magdeburg
SC Magdeburg30-19MT Melsungen
SC Magdeburg39-24MT Melsungen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MT Melsungen 1537 · SC Magdeburg 1658

	MT Melsungen	SC Magdeburg
Our model	43%	57%
Market	24%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1MT Melsungen 29.2 · SC Magdeburg 31.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Magdeburg (rating 1537 vs 1658).
SC Magdeburg is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours SC Magdeburg: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MT Melsungen	SC Magdeburg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.7 / 31.1	34.2 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.4 / 28.2	33.8 / 30.6
Est. result	29	32

Est. total61.1

Line O/U59.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.00

X8.50

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.88

2 (-2.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 63.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:25 +22’	4.00	8.50	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MT Melsungen 1–0–5 SC Magdeburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	23-34	SC Magdeburg
10/12/25 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	31-27	MT Melsungen
16/02/25 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	29-28	MT Melsungen
16/11/24 Germany Bundesliga	MT Melsungen	31-23	SC Magdeburg
14/04/24 Germany DHB Pokal	SC Magdeburg	30-19	MT Melsungen
11/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	39-24	MT Melsungen

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	4	4	0	0	144	123	8
2	THW Kiel	4	4	0	0	132	112	8
3	SC Magdeburg	4	4	0	0	138	123	8
4	Fuchse Berlin	4	3	0	1	132	128	6
5	Frisch Auf Goppingen	5	3	0	2	142	152	6
6	MT Melsungen	4	2	1	1	125	109	5
7	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	4	2	1	1	116	116	5
8	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	4	2	0	2	123	113	4
9	TBV Lemgo	4	2	0	2	124	130	4
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	5	2	0	3	141	145	4
11	Vfl Gummersbach	4	1	1	2	121	123	3
12	ThSV Eisenach	4	1	1	2	120	125	3
12	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	4	1	1	2	124	129	3
14	HC Erlangen	4	1	1	2	120	126	3
15	SG BBM Bietigheim	4	1	0	3	117	136	2
16	HSV Hamburg	4	0	1	3	119	126	1
17	HSG Wetzlar	4	0	1	3	121	135	1
18	Bergischer HC	4	0	0	4	112	120	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MT Melsungen	SC Magdeburg
TVB 1898 Stuttgart	32-27 W	30-26 W
Vfl Gummersbach	31-31 D	33-31 W
Fuchse Berlin	31-33 L	36-32 W
Rhein Neckar Lowen	22-30 L	33-30 W
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	30-40 L	31-30 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SC Magdeburg (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MT Melsungen

LLWWLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-27	W
05/09	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
02/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	31-18	W
27/08	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
04/06	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-39	L
21/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	33-27	W
09/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	37-34	W
01/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	22-30	L
24/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	30-40	L

SC Magdeburg

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	38-30	W
06/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
03/09	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	36-32	W
30/08	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
03/06	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	38-35	W
24/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	33-30	W
21/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
10/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	41-28	W
26/04	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	30-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MT Melsungen vs SC Magdeburg?

Our model gives 67% to SC Magdeburg.

How many points are expected in MT Melsungen vs SC Magdeburg?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (MT Melsungen 29.2 · SC Magdeburg 31.9).