Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 18/09, 20:00

Prediction: ThSV Eisenach vs THW Kiel

Team pages: ThSV Eisenach · THW Kiel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.2Total

ThSV Eisenach30.5

THW Kiel31.7

1X2

30% 70%

ThSV Eisenach THW Kiel

Recent form · 10 last

ThSV Eisenach 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLDW

THW Kiel 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

ThSV Eisenach 0–2–4 THW Kiel (6 last)

THW Kiel30-30ThSV Eisenach
ThSV Eisenach27-27THW Kiel
THW Kiel36-35ThSV Eisenach
ThSV Eisenach33-37THW Kiel
THW Kiel31-27ThSV Eisenach
ThSV Eisenach32-40THW Kiel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ThSV Eisenach 1459 · THW Kiel 1534

	ThSV Eisenach	THW Kiel
Our model	49%	51%
Market	16%	76%

Estimated total (ours) 62.2 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.2ThSV Eisenach 30.5 · THW Kiel 31.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours THW Kiel (rating 1459 vs 1534).
THW Kiel is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours THW Kiel: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ThSV Eisenach	THW Kiel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.4 / 34.6	30.6 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.6 / 33	32.6 / 29.2
Est. result	31	32

Est. total62.2

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X11.00

21.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.78

2 (-4.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.88

Under 61.51.88

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 63.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 6.00▼	Bet365 6.00
X	12.00 → 11.00▼	Bet365 11.00
2	1.20 → 1.25▲	Bet365 1.25

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:24 +23’	7.00	12.00	1.20
19:47 +10’	6.00▼	11.00▼	1.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ThSV Eisenach 0–2–4 THW Kiel

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	30-30	ThSV Eisenach
28/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	27-27	THW Kiel
08/06/25 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	36-35	ThSV Eisenach
08/12/24 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	33-37	THW Kiel
25/02/24 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	31-27	ThSV Eisenach
15/12/23 Germany Bundesliga	ThSV Eisenach	32-40	THW Kiel

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	4	4	0	0	144	123	8
2	THW Kiel	4	4	0	0	132	112	8
3	SC Magdeburg	4	4	0	0	138	123	8
4	Fuchse Berlin	4	3	0	1	132	128	6
5	Frisch Auf Goppingen	5	3	0	2	142	152	6
6	MT Melsungen	4	2	1	1	125	109	5
7	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	4	2	1	1	116	116	5
8	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	4	2	0	2	123	113	4
9	TBV Lemgo	4	2	0	2	124	130	4
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	5	2	0	3	141	145	4
11	Vfl Gummersbach	4	1	1	2	121	123	3
12	ThSV Eisenach	4	1	1	2	120	125	3
12	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	4	1	1	2	124	129	3
14	HC Erlangen	4	1	1	2	120	126	3
15	SG BBM Bietigheim	4	1	0	3	117	136	2
16	HSV Hamburg	4	0	1	3	119	126	1
17	HSG Wetzlar	4	0	1	3	121	135	1
18	Bergischer HC	4	0	0	4	112	120	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ThSV Eisenach	THW Kiel
SG BBM Bietigheim	31-25 W	36-28 W
HSG Wetzlar	31-31 D	25-33 L
Fuchse Berlin	38-41 L	28-35 L
TBV Lemgo	34-38 L	35-27 W
TSV GWD Minden	34-29 W	30-34 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ThSV Eisenach (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ThSV Eisenach

WLLLLLLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	31-25	W
07/09	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-31	D
03/09	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	27-36	L
28/08	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-33	L
07/06	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	33-40	L
04/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-36	L
29/05	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	38-41	L
22/05	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	34-38	L
09/05	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	34-37	L
24/04	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	34-29	W

THW Kiel

DLLWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	29-26	W
06/09	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
03/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	36-28	W
27/08	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	35-27	W
07/06	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	31-34	L
03/06	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	30-34	L
24/05	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	32-23	W
10/05	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-35	L
02/05	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	25-33	L
25/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ThSV Eisenach vs THW Kiel?

Our model gives 70% to THW Kiel.

How many points are expected in ThSV Eisenach vs THW Kiel?

The model estimates 62.2 total points (ThSV Eisenach 30.5 · THW Kiel 31.7).