Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs HSV Hamburg

Team pages: TSV Hannover Burgdorf · HSV Hamburg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.6Total

TSV Hannover Burgdorf32.3

HSV Hamburg31.3

1X2

71% 29%

TSV Hannover Burgdorf HSV Hamburg

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDLDWD

HSV Hamburg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWLD

Head-to-head

TSV Hannover Burgdorf 2–1–3 HSV Hamburg (6 last)

TSV Hannover Burgdorf35-37HSV Hamburg
HSV Hamburg29-33TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf33-32HSV Hamburg
HSV Hamburg32-32TSV Hannover Burgdorf
TSV Hannover Burgdorf29-31HSV Hamburg
TSV Hannover Burgdorf25-26HSV Hamburg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 1509 · HSV Hamburg 1509

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	HSV Hamburg
Our model	60%	40%
Market	71%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 63.6 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.6TSV Hannover Burgdorf 32.3 · HSV Hamburg 31.3

Match keys

TSV Hannover Burgdorf is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours HSV Hamburg: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	HSV Hamburg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 30.4	30.8 / 31.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30 / 30	32.2 / 32.6
Est. result	32	31

Est. total63.6

Line O/U62.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.32

X10.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.88

2 (+3.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.88

Under 62.51.88

Diff.: 0.5 · Est. total: 62

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Bet365 1.32
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:43 +6’	1.32	10.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Hannover Burgdorf 2–1–3 HSV Hamburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	35-37	HSV Hamburg
03/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	HSV Hamburg	29-33	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
09/03/25 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	33-32	HSV Hamburg
24/10/24 Germany Bundesliga	HSV Hamburg	32-32	TSV Hannover Burgdorf
16/08/24 Club Friendlies	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	29-31	HSV Hamburg
05/04/24 Germany Bundesliga	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	25-26	HSV Hamburg

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	2	2	0	0	67	60	4
2	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	2	1	1	0	60	59	3
2	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	2	1	1	0	64	63	3
4	THW Kiel	1	1	0	0	35	27	2
5	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	1	1	0	0	30	26	2
6	Fuchse Berlin	1	1	0	0	33	31	2
6	SC Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	33	31	2
6	SG BBM Bietigheim	1	1	0	0	35	33	2
9	MT Melsungen	2	1	0	1	62	51	2
10	Vfl Gummersbach	2	1	0	1	62	59	2
11	Frisch Auf Goppingen	2	1	0	1	50	61	2
12	HC Erlangen	2	0	1	1	58	60	1
13	HSV Hamburg	2	0	1	1	60	64	1
14	HSG Wetzlar	1	0	0	1	33	35	0
14	ThSV Eisenach	1	0	0	1	31	33	0
16	Bergischer HC	2	0	0	2	58	64	0
16	Rhein Neckar Lowen	2	0	0	2	57	63	0
18	TBV Lemgo	1	0	0	1	27	35	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	HSV Hamburg
HC Erlangen	28-28 D	31-23 W
ThSV Eisenach	35-26 W	40-33 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Hannover Burgdorf

LWDLWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
30/08	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	32-31	W
07/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	32-32	D
03/06	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
21/05	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
08/05	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	36-33	W
02/05	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	29-30	L
26/04	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
10/04	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	35-26	W
04/04	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	32-35	L

HSV Hamburg

WLWWLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	34-34	D
30/08	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten Germany Bundesliga	26-30	L
07/06	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	40-33	W
04/06	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	33-32	W
25/05	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	28-34	L
10/05	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	28-41	L
03/05	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	31-26	W
25/04	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	31-23	W
12/04	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	27-34	L
05/04	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	30-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs HSV Hamburg?

Our model gives 71% to TSV Hannover Burgdorf.

How many points are expected in TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs HSV Hamburg?

The model estimates 63.6 total points (TSV Hannover Burgdorf 32.3 · HSV Hamburg 31.3).