Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Frisch Auf Goppingen vs THW Kiel

Team pages: Frisch Auf Goppingen · THW Kiel

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59Total

Frisch Auf Goppingen29

THW Kiel30

1X2

31% 69%

Frisch Auf Goppingen THW Kiel

Recent form · 10 last

Frisch Auf Goppingen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWLLWL

THW Kiel 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Frisch Auf Goppingen 0–6 THW Kiel (6 last)

Frisch Auf Goppingen24-28THW Kiel
THW Kiel34-30Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen29-36THW Kiel
THW Kiel33-24Frisch Auf Goppingen
THW Kiel32-27Frisch Auf Goppingen
Frisch Auf Goppingen27-34THW Kiel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frisch Auf Goppingen 1513 · THW Kiel 1543

	Frisch Auf Goppingen	THW Kiel
Our model	56%	44%
Market	14%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 59 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59Frisch Auf Goppingen 29 · THW Kiel 30

Match keys

THW Kiel is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours THW Kiel: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Frisch Auf Goppingen	THW Kiel
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.3 / 29.6	30.9 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28.8 / 30.2	32.8 / 29.2
Est. result	29	30

Est. total59

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

17.00

X11.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.88

2 (-4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.88

Under 59.51.88

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 59.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:45 +3’	7.00	11.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frisch Auf Goppingen 0–0–6 THW Kiel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	24-28	THW Kiel
22/11/25 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	34-30	Frisch Auf Goppingen
19/04/25 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	29-36	THW Kiel
12/09/24 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	33-24	Frisch Auf Goppingen
20/05/24 Germany Bundesliga	THW Kiel	32-27	Frisch Auf Goppingen
29/10/23 Germany Bundesliga	Frisch Auf Goppingen	27-34	THW Kiel

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	2	2	0	0	71	55	4
2	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	2	2	0	0	66	53	4
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	2	2	0	0	67	60	4
4	SC Magdeburg	2	2	0	0	69	63	4
5	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	2	1	1	0	60	59	3
5	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	2	1	1	0	64	63	3
7	MT Melsungen	2	1	0	1	62	51	2
8	Vfl Gummersbach	2	1	0	1	62	59	2
9	Fuchse Berlin	2	1	0	1	65	67	2
10	TBV Lemgo	2	1	0	1	58	62	2
11	SG BBM Bietigheim	2	1	0	1	63	69	2
12	Frisch Auf Goppingen	2	1	0	1	50	61	2
13	HC Erlangen	2	0	1	1	58	60	1
14	HSV Hamburg	2	0	1	1	60	64	1
15	Bergischer HC	2	0	0	2	58	64	0
15	HSG Wetzlar	2	0	0	2	60	66	0
15	Rhein Neckar Lowen	2	0	0	2	57	63	0
18	ThSV Eisenach	2	0	0	2	58	69	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frisch Auf Goppingen	THW Kiel
Bergischer HC	28-29 L	32-23 W
HSV Hamburg	34-28 W	34-27 W
HSG Wetzlar	31-30 W	25-33 L
SC DHFK Leipzig	34-29 W	28-28 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frisch Auf Goppingen

LWWDWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/09	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	18-31	L
29/08	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	32-30	W
07/06	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	28-29	L
03/06	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	32-33	L
25/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-28	W
07/05	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
30/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	29-29	D
23/04	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	32-30	W
09/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	34-29	W
05/04	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	23-27	L

THW Kiel

DWDLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/09	SG BBM Bietigheim Germany Bundesliga	36-28	W
27/08	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	35-27	W
07/06	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	31-34	L
03/06	TSV GWD Minden Germany Bundesliga	30-34	L
24/05	Bergischer HC Germany Bundesliga	32-23	W
10/05	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	28-35	L
02/05	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	25-33	L
25/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	28-28	D
12/04	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	34-27	W
04/04	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frisch Auf Goppingen vs THW Kiel?

Our model gives 69% to THW Kiel.

How many points are expected in Frisch Auf Goppingen vs THW Kiel?

The model estimates 59 total points (Frisch Auf Goppingen 29 · THW Kiel 30).