Handball · Germany Bundesliga · 03/09, 20:15

Prediction: SC Magdeburg vs Fuchse Berlin

Team pages: SC Magdeburg · Fuchse Berlin

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.2Total

SC Magdeburg33.8

Fuchse Berlin32.4

1X2

79% 21%

SC Magdeburg Fuchse Berlin

Recent form · 10 last

SC Magdeburg 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Fuchse Berlin 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

SC Magdeburg 4–2 Fuchse Berlin (6 last)

SC Magdeburg38-31Fuchse Berlin
SC Magdeburg35-40Fuchse Berlin
SC Magdeburg35-33Fuchse Berlin
Fuchse Berlin32-39SC Magdeburg
Fuchse Berlin26-32SC Magdeburg
SC Magdeburg30-33Fuchse Berlin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Magdeburg 1647 · Fuchse Berlin 1582

	SC Magdeburg	Fuchse Berlin
Our model	69%	31%
Market	79%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 66.2 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · +1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.2SC Magdeburg 33.8 · Fuchse Berlin 32.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Magdeburg (rating 1647 vs 1582).
SC Magdeburg is a clear favourite (79% market).
H2H favours SC Magdeburg: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SC Magdeburg	Fuchse Berlin
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.4 / 29.7	35.5 / 31.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.2 / 31.2	37.2 / 33
Est. result	34	32

Est. total66.2

Line O/U64.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.20

X12.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.85

2 (+4.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.88

Under 64.51.88

Diff.: 0.45 · Est. total: 64.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20
X	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:35 +13’	1.20	12.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Magdeburg 4–0–2 Fuchse Berlin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Germany Super Cup	SC Magdeburg	38-31	Fuchse Berlin
13/06/26 Champions League	SC Magdeburg	35-40	Fuchse Berlin
28/03/26 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	35-33	Fuchse Berlin
06/09/25 Germany Bundesliga	Fuchse Berlin	32-39	SC Magdeburg
15/06/25 Champions League	Fuchse Berlin	26-32	SC Magdeburg
21/03/25 Germany Bundesliga	SC Magdeburg	30-33	Fuchse Berlin

Standings · Germany Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	THW Kiel	1	1	0	35	27	2
2	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	1	1	0	30	26	2
3	Frisch Auf Goppingen	1	1	0	32	30	2
3	Fuchse Berlin	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SC Magdeburg	1	1	0	33	31	2
3	SG BBM Bietigheim	1	1	0	35	33	2
3	SG Flensburg-Handewitt	1	1	0	33	31	2
8	TSV Hannover Burgdorf	1	1	0	32	31	2
8	TVB 1898 Stuttgart	1	1	0	30	29	2
10	Bergischer HC	1	0	1	29	30	0
10	Rhein Neckar Lowen	1	0	1	31	32	0
12	HC Erlangen	1	0	1	30	32	0
12	HSG Wetzlar	1	0	1	33	35	0
12	MT Melsungen	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	ThSV Eisenach	1	0	1	31	33	0
12	Vfl Gummersbach	1	0	1	31	33	0
17	HSV Hamburg	1	0	1	26	30	0
18	TBV Lemgo	1	0	1	27	35	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Magdeburg	Fuchse Berlin
Vfl Gummersbach	33-31 W	28-26 W
SG Flensburg-Handewitt	31-30 W	43-38 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Fuchse Berlin (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Magdeburg

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	HSG Wetzlar Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
03/06	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	38-35	W
24/05	Rhein Neckar Lowen Germany Bundesliga	33-30	W
21/05	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	31-30	W
10/05	HSV Hamburg Germany Bundesliga	41-28	W
26/04	TVB 1898 Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga	30-26	W
12/04	HC Erlangen Germany Bundesliga	35-31	W
05/04	Frisch Auf Goppingen Germany Bundesliga	27-23	W
28/03	Fuchse Berlin Germany Bundesliga	35-33	W

Fuchse Berlin

LWWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/08	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	33-31	W
07/06	SG Flensburg-Handewitt Germany Bundesliga	43-38	W
04/06	MT Melsungen Germany Bundesliga	39-28	W
29/05	ThSV Eisenach Germany Bundesliga	41-38	W
21/05	TSV Hannover Burgdorf Germany Bundesliga	30-30	D
10/05	THW Kiel Germany Bundesliga	35-28	W
23/04	Vfl Gummersbach Germany Bundesliga	28-26	W
12/04	TBV Lemgo Germany Bundesliga	34-33	W
05/04	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany Bundesliga	39-26	W
28/03	SC Magdeburg Germany Bundesliga	33-35	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Magdeburg vs Fuchse Berlin?

Our model gives 79% to SC Magdeburg.

How many points are expected in SC Magdeburg vs Fuchse Berlin?

The model estimates 66.2 total points (SC Magdeburg 33.8 · Fuchse Berlin 32.4).