Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 26/09, 19:00

Prediction: SD Skofljica vs RK Trimo Trebnje

Team pages: SD Skofljica · RK Trimo Trebnje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

63.2Total

SD Skofljica29.9

RK Trimo Trebnje33.2

1X2

28% 72%

SD Skofljica RK Trimo Trebnje

Recent form · 10 last

SD Skofljica 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWLLWL

RK Trimo Trebnje 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWDWW

Head-to-head

SD Skofljica 0–4 RK Trimo Trebnje (4 last)

SD Skofljica24-32RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje36-26SD Skofljica
RK Trimo Trebnje27-21SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica24-30RK Trimo Trebnje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Skofljica 1490 · RK Trimo Trebnje 1588

	SD Skofljica	RK Trimo Trebnje
Our model	46%	54%
Market	15%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 63.2 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points63.2SD Skofljica 29.9 · RK Trimo Trebnje 33.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Trimo Trebnje (rating 1490 vs 1588).
RK Trimo Trebnje is a clear favourite (72% market).
H2H favours RK Trimo Trebnje: 4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	SD Skofljica	RK Trimo Trebnje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.5 / 32.3	35.4 / 30.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 33.6	34.8 / 28.6
Est. result	30	33

Est. total63.2

Line O/U63.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.00

X12.00

21.16

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.85

Under 63.51.85

Diff.: 0.75 · Est. total: 64.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 6.00▲	Bet365 6.00
X	11.00 → 12.00▲	Bet365 12.00
2	1.25 → 1.16▼	Bet365 1.16

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:52 +8’	4.75	11.00	1.25
16:17 +1’	6.00▲	12.00▲	1.16▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Skofljica 0–0–4 RK Trimo Trebnje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	24-32	RK Trimo Trebnje
20/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	36-26	SD Skofljica
12/04/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	27-21	SD Skofljica
11/11/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	24-30	RK Trimo Trebnje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	4	3	1	0	137	119	7
2	MRK Krka	4	3	1	0	130	116	7
3	RK Celje	4	3	0	1	140	126	6
4	RD Loka	4	3	0	1	127	114	6
5	RD Slovan	4	3	0	1	133	106	6
6	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	4	2	1	1	119	111	5
7	RK Ormoz	4	2	1	1	123	120	5
8	RK Gorenje Velenje	4	2	0	2	114	113	4
9	SD Skofljica	4	1	0	3	115	134	2
10	RD Ribnica	4	0	0	4	106	132	0
11	RK Svis	4	0	0	4	105	131	0
12	RK Ajdovscina	4	0	0	4	114	141	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Skofljica	RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Ormoz	27-34 L	39-20 W
RK Svis	31-26 W	32-28 W
RK Celje	33-40 L	39-31 W
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	24-34 L	32-32 D
RD Ribnica	40-34 W	34-28 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RK Trimo Trebnje (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Skofljica

LLLDWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	27-34	L
12/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
05/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-40	L
02/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	24-34	L
23/05	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-34	W
09/05	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
25/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
11/04	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-32	L
04/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L
28/03	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-31	L

RK Trimo Trebnje

WWLLWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	32-28	W
13/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
05/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
31/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-24	W
27/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
09/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	36-37	L
29/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-38	W
25/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	39-20	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Skofljica vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

Our model gives 72% to RK Trimo Trebnje.

How many points are expected in SD Skofljica vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

The model estimates 63.2 total points (SD Skofljica 29.9 · RK Trimo Trebnje 33.2).