Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 03/10, 17:00

Prediction: RD Slovan vs SD Skofljica

Team pages: RD Slovan · SD Skofljica

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.6Total

RD Slovan35.1

SD Skofljica30.5

1X2

85% 15%

RD Slovan SD Skofljica

Recent form · 10 last

RD Slovan 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWLW

SD Skofljica 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLLWLL

Head-to-head

RD Slovan 3–1 SD Skofljica (4 last)

RD Slovan38-29SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica32-35RD Slovan
RD Slovan31-25SD Skofljica
SD Skofljica26-24RD Slovan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Slovan 1585 · SD Skofljica 1484

	RD Slovan	SD Skofljica
Our model	73%	27%
Market	89%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 65.6 points · Bet365 line 65.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.6RD Slovan 35.1 · SD Skofljica 30.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RD Slovan (rating 1585 vs 1484).
RD Slovan is a clear favourite (85% market).
H2H favours RD Slovan: 3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Slovan	SD Skofljica
Points F\|A (Last 10)	34.7 / 30.5	30.3 / 32.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.4 / 26.2	28.4 / 34.2
Est. result	35	31

Est. total65.6

Line O/U65.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

X20.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-10.5)1.85

2 (+10.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 65.51.85

Under 65.51.85

Diff.: 1.3 · Est. total: 64.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
X	20.00 → 20.00	Bet365 20.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +2’	1.01	20.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Slovan 3–0–1 SD Skofljica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	38-29	SD Skofljica
13/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	32-35	RD Slovan
09/03/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Slovan	31-25	SD Skofljica
14/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	SD Skofljica	26-24	RD Slovan

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	5	4	1	0	174	146	9
2	RD Slovan	5	4	0	1	167	131	8
3	MRK Krka	5	3	2	0	159	145	8
4	RD Loka	5	3	1	1	155	142	7
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	5	2	2	1	147	139	6
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	5	3	0	2	143	141	6
7	RK Ormoz	5	2	2	1	151	148	6
8	RK Celje	5	3	0	2	168	155	6
9	SD Skofljica	5	1	0	4	142	171	2
10	RD Ribnica	5	0	1	4	135	161	1
11	RK Ajdovscina	5	0	1	4	142	169	1
12	RK Svis	5	0	0	5	130	165	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Slovan	SD Skofljica
RK Svis	34-25 W	31-26 W
RK Celje	33-34 L	33-40 L
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	28-23 W	24-34 L
RD Ribnica	38-22 W	40-34 W
RK Trimo Trebnje	31-30 W	27-37 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: RD Slovan (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Slovan

WWWLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-25	W
20/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-34	L
12/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
05/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	38-22	W
02/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
31/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-41	L
27/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	38-42	L
09/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	37-36	W
29/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-25	W

SD Skofljica

LLDWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	27-37	L
19/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	27-34	L
12/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-26	W
05/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-40	L
02/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	24-34	L
23/05	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-34	W
09/05	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
25/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
11/04	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-32	L
04/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	30-33	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Slovan vs SD Skofljica?

Our model gives 85% to RD Slovan.

How many points are expected in RD Slovan vs SD Skofljica?

The model estimates 65.6 total points (RD Slovan 35.1 · SD Skofljica 30.5).