Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: MRK Krka vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Team pages: MRK Krka · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60Total

MRK Krka30.6

RK Slovenj Gradec 201129.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

57% 43%

MRK Krka RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

MRK Krka 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWWDWD

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWDLWD

Head-to-head

MRK Krka 3–3 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 (6 last)

RK Slovenj Gradec 201132-27MRK Krka
RK Slovenj Gradec 201126-25MRK Krka
MRK Krka28-27RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
MRK Krka33-24RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RK Slovenj Gradec 201127-26MRK Krka
MRK Krka32-28RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MRK Krka 1532 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 1498

	MRK Krka	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Our model	65%	35%
Market	46%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 60 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60MRK Krka 30.6 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 29.4

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	MRK Krka	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30 / 29	30.7 / 32
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.8 / 29	29.4 / 27.8
Est. result	31	29

Est. total60

Line O/U59.5

Diff.0.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

X8.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 59.51.85

Under 59.51.85

Diff.: 1.35 · Est. total: 60.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
10:00 +2’	1.95	8.00	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MRK Krka 3–0–3 RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	32-27	MRK Krka
10/12/25 Slovenia Cup	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	26-25	MRK Krka
04/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	28-27	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
24/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	33-24	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
17/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	27-26	MRK Krka
08/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	32-28	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	5	4	1	0	174	146	9
2	RD Slovan	5	4	0	1	167	131	8
3	MRK Krka	5	3	2	0	159	145	8
4	RD Loka	5	3	1	1	155	142	7
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	5	2	2	1	147	139	6
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	5	3	0	2	143	141	6
7	RK Ormoz	5	2	2	1	151	148	6
8	RK Celje	5	3	0	2	168	155	6
9	SD Skofljica	5	1	0	4	142	171	2
10	RD Ribnica	5	0	1	4	135	161	1
11	RK Ajdovscina	5	0	1	4	142	169	1
12	RK Svis	5	0	0	5	130	165	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MRK Krka	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
RD Loka	34-29 W	28-28 D
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-23 W	30-27 W
RK Celje	26-35 L	35-37 L
RK Trimo Trebnje	30-26 W	32-32 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MRK Krka (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MRK Krka

WLWDDWWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
18/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	37-33	W
12/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
23/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
22/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-35	L
10/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-26	W

RK Slovenj Gradec 2011

LWLLLWDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-27	W
12/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	23-28	L
05/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-24	W
31/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	24-37	L
27/05	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
23/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	35-37	L
09/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
06/05	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	36-41	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MRK Krka vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (MRK Krka 57% · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 43%).

How many points are expected in MRK Krka vs RK Slovenj Gradec 2011?

The model estimates 60 total points (MRK Krka 30.6 · RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 29.4).