Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 03/10, 19:00

Prediction: RD Loka vs RK Celje

Team pages: RD Loka · RK Celje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

66.3Total

RD Loka32.7

RK Celje33.6

1X2

34% 66%

RD Loka RK Celje

Recent form · 10 last

RD Loka 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWLWWD

RK Celje 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLWL

Head-to-head

RD Loka 0–6 RK Celje (6 last)

RD Loka29-30RK Celje
RK Celje38-30RD Loka
RD Loka27-34RK Celje
RK Celje26-22RD Loka
RD Loka26-27RK Celje
RK Celje34-32RD Loka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Loka 1495 · RK Celje 1502

	RD Loka	RK Celje
Our model	59%	41%
Market	16%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 66.3 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · +3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points66.3RD Loka 32.7 · RK Celje 33.6

Match keys

RK Celje is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours RK Celje: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Loka	RK Celje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.2 / 31.8	35.9 / 33.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 28.4	33.6 / 31
Est. result	33	34

Est. total66.3

Line O/U62.5

Diff.3.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.50

X11.00

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.95

2 (-4.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 3.65 · Est. total: 66.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:51 +11’	5.50	11.00	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Loka 0–0–6 RK Celje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	29-30	RK Celje
13/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	38-30	RD Loka
07/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	27-34	RK Celje
20/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	26-22	RD Loka
20/04/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Loka	26-27	RK Celje
19/11/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Celje	34-32	RD Loka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	5	4	1	0	174	146	9
2	RD Slovan	5	4	0	1	167	131	8
3	MRK Krka	5	3	2	0	159	145	8
4	RD Loka	5	3	1	1	155	142	7
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	5	2	2	1	147	139	6
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	5	3	0	2	143	141	6
7	RK Ormoz	5	2	2	1	151	148	6
8	RK Celje	5	3	0	2	168	155	6
9	SD Skofljica	5	1	0	4	142	171	2
10	RD Ribnica	5	0	1	4	135	161	1
11	RK Ajdovscina	5	0	1	4	142	169	1
12	RK Svis	5	0	0	5	130	165	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Loka	RK Celje
RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	28-28 D	37-35 W
RD Slovan	32-48 L	34-33 W
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-28 D	28-29 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RK Celje (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Loka

DLLLWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
20/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	31-28	W
12/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	35-27	W
05/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	29-34	L
02/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-25	W
23/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	32-30	W
09/05	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-34	L
30/04	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	34-36	L
24/04	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	32-48	L
11/04	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D

RK Celje

WLWWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
20/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	34-33	W
13/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	31-39	L
05/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	40-33	W
02/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	35-21	W
31/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
27/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	42-38	W
23/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-35	W
09/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	41-36	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Loka vs RK Celje?

Our model gives 66% to RK Celje.

How many points are expected in RD Loka vs RK Celje?

The model estimates 66.3 total points (RD Loka 32.7 · RK Celje 33.6).