Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: RK Ormoz vs RK Trimo Trebnje

Team pages: RK Ormoz · RK Trimo Trebnje

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

RK Ormoz29.4

RK Trimo Trebnje32.9

1X2

27% 73%

RK Ormoz RK Trimo Trebnje

Recent form · 10 last

RK Ormoz 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLWDWD

RK Trimo Trebnje 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

RK Ormoz 0–6 RK Trimo Trebnje (6 last)

RK Ormoz20-39RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje34-30RK Ormoz
RK Trimo Trebnje31-27RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz20-28RK Trimo Trebnje
RK Trimo Trebnje40-24RK Ormoz
RK Ormoz25-26RK Trimo Trebnje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RK Ormoz 1469 · RK Trimo Trebnje 1598

	RK Ormoz	RK Trimo Trebnje
Our model	42%	58%
Market	16%	75%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3RK Ormoz 29.4 · RK Trimo Trebnje 32.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RK Trimo Trebnje (rating 1469 vs 1598).
RK Trimo Trebnje is a clear favourite (73% market).
H2H favours RK Trimo Trebnje: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RK Ormoz	RK Trimo Trebnje
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.8 / 31.7	35.2 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	30.2 / 29.6	34.8 / 29.2
Est. result	29	33

Est. total62.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.50

X11.00

21.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.95

2 (-4.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 2.35 · Est. total: 63.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.20 → 1.20	Bet365 1.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +24’	5.50	11.00	1.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RK Ormoz 0–0–6 RK Trimo Trebnje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	20-39	RK Trimo Trebnje
27/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	34-30	RK Ormoz
13/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	31-27	RK Ormoz
27/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	20-28	RK Trimo Trebnje
21/12/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Trimo Trebnje	40-24	RK Ormoz
05/10/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RK Ormoz	25-26	RK Trimo Trebnje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	5	4	1	0	174	146	9
2	RD Slovan	5	4	0	1	167	131	8
3	MRK Krka	5	3	2	0	159	145	8
4	RD Loka	5	3	1	1	155	142	7
5	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	5	2	2	1	147	139	6
6	RK Gorenje Velenje	5	3	0	2	143	141	6
7	RK Ormoz	5	2	2	1	151	148	6
8	RK Celje	5	3	0	2	168	155	6
9	SD Skofljica	5	1	0	4	142	171	2
10	RD Ribnica	5	0	1	4	135	161	1
11	RK Ajdovscina	5	0	1	4	142	169	1
12	RK Svis	5	0	0	5	130	165	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RK Ormoz	RK Trimo Trebnje
SD Skofljica	34-27 W	37-27 W
RK Svis	33-30 W	32-28 W
RK Celje	33-36 L	39-31 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: RK Trimo Trebnje (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RK Ormoz

LLLWLLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	28-28	D
19/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-27	W
12/09	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	33-30	W
02/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	25-32	L
23/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-32	L
09/05	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-31	W
29/04	MRK Krka Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
25/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	20-39	L
11/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	33-36	L

RK Trimo Trebnje

WLLWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	37-27	W
19/09	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	32-28	W
13/09	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-31	W
05/09	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	32-32	D
02/09	RD Ribnica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-28	W
31/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	37-24	W
27/05	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011 Slovenia Prva Liga	36-34	W
09/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	30-31	L
06/05	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	36-37	L
29/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	39-38	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RK Ormoz vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

Our model gives 73% to RK Trimo Trebnje.

How many points are expected in RK Ormoz vs RK Trimo Trebnje?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (RK Ormoz 29.4 · RK Trimo Trebnje 32.9).