Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga · 26/09, 19:00

Prediction: RD Ribnica vs MRK Krka

Team pages: RD Ribnica · MRK Krka

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.5Total

RD Ribnica29.8

MRK Krka31.7

1X2

38% 62%

RD Ribnica MRK Krka

Recent form · 10 last

RD Ribnica 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLLLL

MRK Krka 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDWWDW

Head-to-head

RD Ribnica 2–2–2 MRK Krka (6 last)

MRK Krka29-30RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica35-33MRK Krka
RD Ribnica28-28MRK Krka
MRK Krka32-21RD Ribnica
MRK Krka30-29RD Ribnica
RD Ribnica29-29MRK Krka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RD Ribnica 1465 · MRK Krka 1543

	RD Ribnica	MRK Krka
Our model	49%	51%
Market	27%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 61.5 points · Bet365 line 61.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.5RD Ribnica 29.8 · MRK Krka 31.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MRK Krka (rating 1465 vs 1543).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	RD Ribnica	MRK Krka
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.3 / 33.4	30.2 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	28 / 34.4	31 / 28.2
Est. result	30	32

Est. total61.5

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.30

X9.00

21.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 61.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
10:48 +21’	3.30	9.00	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RD Ribnica 2–2–2 MRK Krka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	29-30	RD Ribnica
13/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	35-33	MRK Krka
20/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	28-28	MRK Krka
06/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	32-21	RD Ribnica
10/04/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	MRK Krka	30-29	RD Ribnica
28/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga	RD Ribnica	29-29	MRK Krka

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Trimo Trebnje	4	3	1	0	137	119	7
2	MRK Krka	4	3	1	0	130	116	7
3	RK Celje	4	3	0	1	140	126	6
4	RD Loka	4	3	0	1	127	114	6
5	RD Slovan	4	3	0	1	133	106	6
6	RK Slovenj Gradec 2011	4	2	1	1	119	111	5
7	RK Ormoz	4	2	1	1	123	120	5
8	RK Gorenje Velenje	4	2	0	2	114	113	4
9	SD Skofljica	4	1	0	3	115	134	2
10	RD Ribnica	4	0	0	4	106	132	0
11	RK Svis	4	0	0	4	105	131	0
12	RK Ajdovscina	4	0	0	4	114	141	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RD Ribnica	MRK Krka
RD Loka	28-31 L	34-29 W
RK Gorenje Velenje	28-29 L	28-23 W
RK Trimo Trebnje	28-34 L	30-26 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MRK Krka (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RD Ribnica

LLWWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	28-31	L
16/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-29	L
05/09	RD Slovan Slovenia Prva Liga	22-38	L
02/09	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-34	L
23/05	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	34-40	L
09/05	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	41-39	W
25/04	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	27-26	W
11/04	SD Skofljica Slovenia Prva Liga	32-29	W
04/04	RK Frankstahl Radovljica Slovenia Prva Liga	29-30	L
28/03	RK Svis Slovenia Prva Liga	34-38	L

MRK Krka

WWLWDDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/09	RK Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga	37-33	W
12/09	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-31	D
05/09	RD Loka Slovenia Prva Liga	34-29	W
02/09	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	28-23	W
23/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	25-25	D
09/05	RK Gorenje Velenje Slovenia Prva Liga	29-29	D
29/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-30	W
22/04	RK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	26-35	L
10/04	RK Trimo Trebnje Slovenia Prva Liga	30-26	W
03/04	RK Ormoz Slovenia Prva Liga	31-29	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RD Ribnica vs MRK Krka?

Our model gives 62% to MRK Krka.

How many points are expected in RD Ribnica vs MRK Krka?

The model estimates 61.5 total points (RD Ribnica 29.8 · MRK Krka 31.7).